May 14, 2024 - RUM
Rumble, the self-proclaimed champion of free speech in the online video space, has consistently positioned itself as a David taking on the Goliath of Big Tech. But amidst the political rhetoric and focus on user growth, a quiet, almost stealthy revolution has been brewing. While analysts dissect MAUs and ad revenue, Rumble has been laying the groundwork for something far more ambitious – a comprehensive digital ecosystem that mirrors the behemoth they aim to rival: Google.
Chris Pavlovski, Rumble's passionate CEO, dropped a bombshell during the Q1 2024 earnings call: they've built a "mini-Google." This isn't just bluster. A closer look at the transcript reveals a carefully orchestrated strategy to replicate Google's core offerings with remarkable efficiency. They've done it faster, with a smaller team, and at a fraction of the cost, leaving one to wonder – is Wall Street missing the bigger picture?
Consider the parallels. Google built its empire on search, video, advertising, and cloud services. Rumble, in a stunningly short span, has mirrored these pillars with Rumble Search, the Rumble video platform, the Rumble Advertising Center (RAC), and Rumble Cloud. This isn't a coincidence. It's a calculated move to create a holistic digital experience, offering a viable alternative to users disenchanted with Big Tech.
Pavlovski draws a direct comparison, highlighting Google's multi-billion dollar acquisitions of YouTube and DoubleClick, the foundation of their video and advertising empires. Rumble, in contrast, built their equivalents organically. While Google poured billions into its cloud infrastructure, Rumble leveraged the necessities of self-preservation, building their own infrastructure to avoid censorship risks. This not only protects Rumble, but also provides the backbone for their own cloud offering – Rumble Cloud.
Here's where things get intriguing. Rumble Cloud isn't just playing defense; it's aiming for market disruption. Pavlovski sees the cloud market, dominated by hyperscalers like Amazon AWS and Google Cloud, as ripe for disruption. Their key differentiators? A commitment to a free and open internet, predictable pricing, and the latest generation hardware. With strategic partnerships already in place with Qinshift and ACP CreativIT, Rumble Cloud is aggressively targeting mid-market and enterprise customers. While sales cycles in this space can be lengthy, early interest is promising.
But the "mini-Google" narrative extends beyond replicating products. Rumble understands the power of a cohesive ecosystem. Their new live streaming service, Rumble Studio, with over 2,000 creators already onboard (including high-profile names like Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly), is more than just a broadcasting tool. It's designed to be a scalable revenue engine, automating host-read advertising and driving monetization for creators and Rumble itself.
This integration extends to RAC, which is rapidly onboarding publishers like Breitbart and Drudge Report, expanding ad inventory and creating a network effect. This mirrors Google's strategy with AdSense, which became a cornerstone of their ad dominance. The results are already showing. Pre-roll ads in Rumble's mobile apps, strong direct-response performance, and early traction with brand advertisers all point to a rapidly accelerating revenue story.
The following chart depicts the sequential revenue growth of RAC in the first quarter of 2024, as revealed in the earnings call transcript.
Let's talk numbers. While Q1 2024 revenue was flat year-over-year, a key detail buried in the transcript stands out: RAC revenue grew sequentially in January, February, and March. This, coupled with the Barstool Sports partnership and the expected surge in political engagement in the latter half of the year, paints a picture of explosive growth potential. Pavlovski anticipates sequential revenue increases starting in Q2 2024, and while specific figures haven't been released, the trajectory is clear.
The "mini-Google" analogy isn't just about mirroring Google's products; it's about replicating their business model – a multi-faceted, integrated ecosystem that generates revenue from multiple sources. And they're doing it with remarkable efficiency. Rumble is moving materially towards breakeven in 2025, a testament to their cost-effective approach. With over $180 million in cash at the end of Q1 2024 and creator commitments diminishing, Rumble has the financial runway to fuel their ambitious vision.
The question remains: is Wall Street overlooking the bigger picture? Is the focus on MAU volatility and quarterly ad revenue obscuring a grander narrative? Rumble is building more than just a video platform; they're constructing a comprehensive digital universe. While it's still early days, the pieces are falling into place, and the potential rewards for investors who grasp the "mini-Google" vision could be monumental.
"Fun Fact: Rumble has filed two antitrust lawsuits against Google, one for self-preferencing and another for monopolization of the online advertising market, seeking damages in excess of $1 billion."
Remember when Amazon was just an online bookstore? The Rumble revolution is just beginning.