May 3, 2024 - NR

The Shocking Secret Hiding in Plain Sight: Why Newpark Resources Could Explode in 2025

Newpark Resources, a name not yet ringing in every investor's ear, may be sitting on the cusp of a spectacular breakout. While most analysts are understandably focused on the company's ongoing divestiture of its Fluids Systems segment, a deeper dive into the Q1 2024 earnings call reveals a hidden gem: the potential for explosive growth in their Industrial Solutions segment, specifically driven by their DURA-BASE composite matting system, in 2025.

This isn't just wishful thinking; the clues are scattered throughout the transcript, waiting to be pieced together. The company's President and CEO, Matthew Lanigan, casually drops a bombshell: "In 2023, nearly 60% of our Industrial Solutions revenues were [from] customers within the electrical, utility, infrastructure market, positioning Newpark as a leading beneficiary of an ongoing multiyear investment cycle focused on the expansion, hardening, and resilience of our electric grid."

He goes on to highlight the "significant and sustained investment cycle in the electrical grid" driven by multibillion-dollar government programs and private sector initiatives. Here's where it gets interesting: these programs, while impactful in the long run, are currently in their nascent stages. The real flood of spending, the tsunami of infrastructure investment, is projected to hit in 2025.

Think of it as a delayed gratification scenario. The government funding is a massive pie, but it takes time to bake. Utilities have to plan projects, secure permits, navigate supply chain complexities - it's a slow-moving behemoth. But once it gains momentum, it's unstoppable. And Newpark, with their strategic positioning in the utility transmission market and their dominance in composite matting, is set to ride this wave.

The transcript further supports this hypothesis. Lanigan mentions a robust pipeline of projects, with quoting activity showing "strong mid- to high teens growth." He also reveals that the pipeline is becoming more "forward looking," with projects starting a quarter or two later than in the past. This shift points to larger, longer-duration projects, precisely the kind fueled by government funding and multiyear infrastructure plans.

Projected Growth in Utility-Driven Revenue

Let's crunch some numbers based on information from the Q1 2024 earnings call. Remember, these are estimates and the actual growth rate could vary.

This isn't just a utility story, though. Newpark is also making strides in expanding their geographic footprint, targeting high-growth regions in the Midwest and Northwest. This expansion strategy, combined with their dominance in the rapidly growing composite matting market, further amplifies their growth potential.

The transcript hints at this, with mentions of building out sales teams and increasing fleet capacity to service larger projects. These are all proactive steps to capitalize on the anticipated surge in infrastructure spending.

So, while the market focuses on the Fluids divestiture, Newpark is quietly building a powerhouse in Industrial Solutions. Their strategic positioning, their commitment to innovation, and the impending wave of infrastructure spending could converge to create an explosive growth story in 2025. Savvy investors who recognize this hidden potential stand to reap significant rewards.

"Fun Fact: Newpark's DURA-BASE mats have been used in diverse projects, including the construction of the Freedom Tower at Ground Zero in New York City and temporary roads for the 2012 London Olympics. This showcases the product's versatility and strength, further solidifying its appeal in the growing infrastructure market."