November 9, 2019 - CFRUY

The Silent Revolution: How Richemont's "Boring" Strategy Might Be Its Biggest Weapon

The luxury landscape is shifting. While brands clamor to capture the fleeting attention of digitally-savvy consumers, Richemont, the Swiss luxury conglomerate known for its timeless Maisons like Cartier and Van Cleef & Arpels, is taking a different, almost counterintuitive approach. A deep dive into their recent earnings transcripts reveals a strategic focus that goes beyond chasing fleeting trends, focusing instead on a methodical, almost "boring" approach to building enduring brand equity. This quiet revolution, while flying under the radar of many analysts, could be their secret weapon in a world obsessed with the new and the now.

Richemont's commitment to long-term brand equity shines through in their deliberate approach to managing inventory and distribution networks. While other luxury players scramble to maximize short-term profits, Richemont has been diligently cleaning up its wholesale watch distribution, buying back excess inventory and strategically closing down underperforming retail doors. This process, while resulting in short-term margin pressure, demonstrates a strategic depth that many analysts might be overlooking. It's a move that prioritizes brand exclusivity and long-term value creation over short-term gains.

The numbers paint a compelling picture. In the watch segment, despite self-inflicted pain from inventory buybacks and network optimization, Richemont's Specialist Watchmakers division has seen its operating margin rise for two consecutive years, reaching 12.7% in the last fiscal year - a 300 basis point improvement year-on-year. This demonstrates the effectiveness of their approach, proving that a disciplined focus on sell-out exceeding sell-in can lead to healthy, sustainable growth.

Their commitment extends beyond the watch segment. In jewelry, a category notoriously different from the fast-paced world of fashion, Richemont is investing heavily in timeless collections and long-term value appreciation. The success of Cartier's rejuvenated Santos watch and the enduring appeal of iconic collections like Love and Juste un Clou highlight the strength of this strategy.

Richemont's foray into the digital world further underscores this long-term vision. Their acquisition of YOOX NET-A-PORTER, the leader in online luxury retail, and the strategic partnership with Alibaba to create the FENG MAO joint venture demonstrate their commitment to building a robust online presence without sacrificing brand exclusivity.

While the online segment currently operates at a loss, Richemont is investing heavily in re-platforming, technological enhancements, and omni-channel capabilities. This deliberate investment phase, while impacting short-term profitability, is laying the groundwork for a robust digital platform that will seamlessly integrate with their existing brick-and-mortar network, creating a truly future-proof luxury experience.

The investment in YOOX NET-A-PORTER is significant. Capital expenditure for the online distributors business is hovering around 10% of sales, a testament to their commitment to building a best-in-class digital platform. This investment is financed by the free cash flow generated by Richemont's strong Maisons, showcasing the financial strength and stability of their core business.

The company's calculated approach extends to even their communication strategies. Richemont's marketing spend, while seeing a shift towards digital, is meticulously managed to maintain brand exclusivity and avoid falling into the trap of excessive discounting and promotional activity. Their focus on digital campaigns like Cartier's Santos and their emphasis on building a strong social media presence underscore their commitment to reaching digitally-savvy customers without compromising their brand value.

Even in the face of market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty, Richemont remains steadfast in its commitment to long-term brand equity. Their acquisition of Buccellati, a renowned Italian jeweler, and the partnership with Alber Elbaz, a celebrated fashion designer, demonstrate their commitment to building a diverse and robust portfolio of Maisons that embody the highest levels of craftsmanship and artistry.

"Fun Fact: Did you know that Richemont also owns Peter Millar, a premium American sportswear brand? This unexpected addition to their portfolio showcases their understanding of the evolving luxury landscape and their ability to cater to diverse customer segments."

While Richemont's deliberate approach might appear "boring" in the short term, it's a strategy rooted in a deep understanding of the luxury market. They are prioritizing the construction of long-lasting brand equity over chasing fleeting trends. This methodical, measured approach, while less flashy than the quick-win strategies of some competitors, might be the key to their long-term success, positioning them as a formidable player in the luxury landscape for years to come.

Hypotheses & Financial Data:

Watch segment recovery: Assuming a successful execution of their inventory management and network optimization strategy, Richemont's Specialist Watchmakers division could see its operating margin reach 15% or higher within the next three years.

Current net cash position: EUR 2.528 billion

Annual CapEx spend: Approximately 5% to 7% of group sales

Continued jewelry growth: Given the steady growth of the Chinese luxury market and the sustained appeal of their iconic collections, Richemont's Jewellery Maisons could see their sales grow at a high-single to low-double-digit rate in the coming years.

Online profitability: With the completion of the re-platforming project and the expansion of their omni-channel capabilities, Richemont's online distributors could reach EBITDA profitability within the next three to five years.

Online distributors CapEx: Approximately 10% of online sales

Digital marketing spend: Approximately 30% to 40% of overall marketing spend

Operating Margin Trend for Specialist Watchmakers

This chart showcases the operating margin trend for Richemont's Specialist Watchmakers division, illustrating their recovery over the past two years.

"Interesting Insight: Richemont's strategic focus on enduring brand equity and careful management is reminiscent of the approach taken by Warren Buffett in his investments. Both prioritize long-term value creation and sustainable competitive advantages over short-term market fluctuations."