May 3, 2024 - SXI
Wall Street loves a good story. Give them a flashy new technology, a charismatic CEO, or a sudden surge in market share, and they'll flock to the narrative. But sometimes, the most compelling stories are the ones whispered, not shouted. The stories of quiet, consistent execution, of long-term strategies meticulously woven into the fabric of a company.
Standex International, a seemingly unassuming manufacturer of commercial and industrial products, is a prime example. While analysts focus on short-term market fluctuations, a deeper examination of their recent earnings call transcript reveals a subtle but powerful phenomenon: a flywheel effect taking shape within their electronics division, poised to propel the company towards its ambitious billion-dollar revenue target.
Standex's strategy, honed over a decade of transformation under CEO David Dunbar, revolves around cultivating high-quality businesses with robust competitive advantages, serving expanding markets. The results speak for themselves: gross margins have soared from 33.4% to 40.3%, EPS has nearly doubled, and internal talent development has become a core strength.
Now, the focus shifts to achieving their updated 2028 targets: high single-digit organic growth to exceed $1 billion in sales, adjusted operating margin surpassing 19%, return on invested capital exceeding 15%, and consistent free cash flow conversion. While these goals appear ambitious, the seeds of their achievement lie within a seemingly innocuous detail from the electronics segment: the reed switch.
For decades, reed switch sales have served as a leading indicator for Standex, a canary in the coal mine for broader market shifts. When reed switch orders drop, the company braces for a downturn. Conversely, when they rise, a tide of growth is expected to follow. After a slump that began in Q2 2022, Standex is now witnessing a positive inflection in reed switch orders, suggesting an imminent market recovery.
This anticipated upswing, however, is only part of the story. The longer-term potential of the electronics division hinges on Standex's strategic investments to accelerate growth, most notably through targeted new product development (NPD) and a laser focus on faster-growing markets. This dual strategy, seemingly simple in concept, is creating a powerful flywheel effect.
Standex's NPD efforts, initiated several years ago, are finally translating into tangible sales. While currently in the single-digit millions, this segment is witnessing impressive growth, contributing meaningfully to FY2024 results. With multiple new product releases slated for FY2025, fueled by steadily increasing R&D investment, this momentum is expected to amplify significantly.
The genius of Standex's strategy lies in aligning its NPD pipeline with faster-growing end markets, such as renewable energy, electric vehicles, and smart grid infrastructure. These high-growth markets, while subject to short-term volatility, are poised for long-term expansion driven by powerful secular trends. Standex's electronics division is strategically positioned to capitalize on this growth.
This alignment between NPD and high-growth markets creates a powerful synergy. As new products tailored to these markets come online, they drive sales growth, fueling further R&D investment and attracting additional talent. This self-reinforcing cycle, the essence of the flywheel effect, gains momentum over time, gradually accelerating Standex's presence in these lucrative sectors.
Evidence of this effect can be seen in the growth of Standex's "new business opportunity" (NBO) funnel, a crucial indicator of their ability to secure new business in high-growth markets. The NBO funnel saw a remarkable 26% year-on-year increase in Q3 FY2024, with 10% organic growth. This substantial expansion signifies Standex's ability to attract new customers in these fast-growing markets, a direct consequence of their tailored NPD efforts.
While the impact of this flywheel effect is subtle in the short term, its long-term implications are profound. Standex's electronics division, currently representing roughly half of the company's total revenue, is on track to contribute disproportionately to the company's billion-dollar goal.
Assuming Standex achieves its stated $200 million target for sales in high-growth markets by 2028, and conservatively estimates that these sales carry a 25% operating margin (in line with their long-term target for the electronics segment), this would generate an additional $50 million in operating income. Considering their current operating income of roughly $100 million, this represents a substantial 50% boost.
This is just the beginning. As the flywheel gains momentum, attracting more talent and driving sales growth, this impact will likely be compounded. Standex's electronics division, with its unseen flywheel quietly gaining momentum, could become the engine that powers the company's journey to a billion-dollar empire.
While Wall Street chases the next big thing, Standex is quietly weaving a compelling narrative of its own, a testament to the power of long-term vision and meticulous execution. The reed switch, a seemingly insignificant component, may just be the key to unlocking Standex's billion-dollar future.
"Fun Fact: Did you know Standex's technology is used in a diverse range of applications, from medical devices and scientific instruments to aerospace components and even space exploration? They're truly a hidden champion in the world of advanced manufacturing."