May 2, 2024 - RARE

Ultragenyx: Is This the Sleeping Giant of Gene Therapy?

While Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE) continues to impress with steady growth in its commercial products and an increasingly robust clinical pipeline, a subtle shift in its approach to gene therapy could herald a seismic change in the rare disease landscape. Tucked within the Q1 2024 earnings call transcript lies a strategic pivot that might have slipped past many analysts: the company's strategic emphasis on "urgency" as a driving force for gene therapy adoption.

Ultragenyx isn't just developing gene therapies; they're poised to become masters of their commercialization. This realization struck me during Emil Kakkis's discussion of the upcoming DTX401 Phase III data for Glycogen Storage Disease Type 1a (GSD1a). Kakkis didn't just cite the impressive potential of the therapy to reduce cornstarch dependence; he honed in on the psychological burden of the disease, highlighting the "treadmill" of constant glucose management and the ever-present fear of a missed cornstarch dose, a fear that can be fatal, especially for children.

This focus on the "urgency" of a rare disease goes beyond simply stating the severity of a condition. It delves into the emotional core of the patient experience, articulating the profound need for a transformative solution. This understanding is crucial, particularly in the context of gene therapy, where high price tags demand demonstrable value beyond clinical data points.

Consider the current gene therapy landscape. Zolgensma, Novartis' groundbreaking treatment for spinal muscular atrophy (SMA), achieved remarkable success due to the urgency of the disease. SMA, a devastating neurodegenerative disorder, often leads to death in infancy without treatment. The need for a curative intervention was undeniable, justifying Zolgensma's $2.1 million price tag.

Ultragenyx's strategy appears to be mirroring this successful approach. By emphasizing the urgent need for a solution in diseases like GSD1a, they're building a compelling narrative that extends beyond simple efficacy data. This narrative resonates with physicians, patients, and, crucially, payers.

The numbers speak for themselves. DTX401 has the potential to address a market of approximately 8,000 GSD1a patients in commercial territories, with nearly 2,000 in the United States. While pricing remains to be determined, the urgency of the disease suggests a high price point could be justified, potentially in line with other gene therapies.

This strategy extends beyond GSD1a. The company's UX111 gene therapy for Sanfilippo syndrome, a devastating neurodegenerative disorder, also leverages this urgency narrative. While discussions with the FDA regarding accelerated approval based on the heparan sulfate biomarker are ongoing, Ultragenyx's emphasis on the unmet need in this devastating disease builds a strong case for the therapy's value, potentially justifying a similar price point to GSD1a.

"**Emil Kakkis**, CEO of Ultragenyx, stated in the Q1 2024 earnings call, "For those of you keeping track, we may have three products at or near readiness for BLA filings in Sanfilippo Syndrome with UX111, GSD1a with UX401 and osteogenesis imperfecta with setrusumab over the next year or so.""

Projected Timeline for BLA Filings

This chart illustrates the potential timeline for Ultragenyx's BLA filings based on the Q1 2024 earnings call.

This subtle shift in Ultragenyx's approach to gene therapy could be a game-changer. By connecting clinical data to the urgent need for solutions, they're creating a compelling narrative that drives adoption and justifies high price points. This strategy, combined with their diverse and promising gene therapy pipeline, positions Ultragenyx not just as a developer of rare disease treatments, but as a force poised to reshape the commercial landscape of gene therapy.

"**Fun Fact:** The term "gene therapy" was first coined in 1972, but the first approved gene therapy treatment in the Western world wasn't until 2012. Ultragenyx is at the forefront of this rapidly evolving field, pushing the boundaries of what's possible for patients with rare diseases."