November 9, 2023 - VZIO

Vizio's Secret Weapon: Is This Undervalued Tech Giant About to Explode?

Vizio, the name synonymous with affordable, high-quality televisions, might be sitting on a gold mine that Wall Street seems to be overlooking. While everyone is focused on their hardware sales, a deeper dive into their recent financial data reveals a fascinating story unfolding within their software segment, "Platform+". This isn't just about selling more TVs; it's about harnessing the power of data and building a compelling ecosystem that could redefine the home entertainment experience.

Vizio's "Platform+" encompasses two key components: SmartCast, their smart TV operating system, and Inscape, their data intelligence arm. SmartCast, with its user-friendly interface and extensive app library, is the gateway to a world of entertainment. Think Netflix, Hulu, Disney+, even Vizio's own ad-supported streaming service, WatchFree+. It's all seamlessly integrated, making the Vizio TV the central hub for content consumption.

But the real game-changer here is Inscape. Remember those warnings about smart TVs collecting your viewing data? Well, Vizio isn't shying away from it. They're embracing it. Inscape gathers anonymized data on what Vizio users are watching, allowing the company to understand viewing patterns, preferences, and trends. This treasure trove of information is then leveraged to create targeted advertising opportunities, offering a far more valuable proposition than traditional linear TV advertising.

What's fascinating is how this seemingly innocuous data play is starting to impact Vizio's financials. Despite a slight decline in quarterly revenue growth year-over-year (-0.8%), Vizio's profitability is showing remarkable resilience. Their EBITDA stands at a respectable $16.8 million, and, more importantly, their quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is an impressive 111.7%. This suggests that the "Platform+" segment, with its high-margin revenue stream, is starting to contribute significantly to the bottom line.

Here's where things get really intriguing. Wall Street, still fixated on Vizio's hardware business, has pegged their target price at a modest $10.69. This seems to undervalue the potential of "Platform+". Imagine a future where Vizio, armed with a deep understanding of its user base, can offer highly personalized content recommendations, tailored advertising, and even predictive analytics for program development. This is the power of data-driven decision making, and it's a space where Vizio is quietly becoming a major player.

There are a few numbers that support this hypothesis. Vizio boasts a user base of over 18 million active SmartCast accounts, all potential data points for Inscape. They've reported that over 50% of their TV sales are now SmartCast-enabled, indicating a growing pool of data. Furthermore, their WatchFree+ service, with its ad-supported model, is experiencing rapid growth, further strengthening their data-driven advertising capabilities.

This data-centric approach isn't without its challenges. Privacy concerns will need to be addressed transparently, and Vizio must ensure user data is handled responsibly. Competition from other smart TV platforms and streaming giants is also a factor to consider.

However, Vizio's strong brand recognition, affordability, and early mover advantage in the data intelligence space position them favorably. They've even expanded their ecosystem to include soundbars and accessories, further enriching their data collection and service offerings.

Growth of Vizio's SmartCast User Base

The chart below depicts the hypothetical growth trend of Vizio's SmartCast active accounts, based on their reported data.

Could Vizio, the underdog of the tech world, become the next data-driven entertainment powerhouse? The signs are certainly there. While Wall Street may be slow to catch on, savvy investors are starting to notice the potential. This is a company to watch closely, as their quiet revolution in data-driven entertainment could soon translate into explosive growth.

"Fun Fact: Vizio was founded by William Wang, a Taiwanese immigrant who started the company with just $600,000 in his garage. Today, Vizio is one of the leading TV brands in the US, known for its innovation and value."