May 10, 2024 - UP

Wheels Up's Stealthy Charter Revolution: Is This the Key to Profitability No One's Talking About?

Wheels Up, the private aviation company known for its signature King Air fleet and celebrity-studded events, has been through a turbulent year. Battered by operational challenges and a volatile market, the company embarked on a significant restructuring, backed by a strategic investment from Delta Airlines. But hidden within the lines of their recent earnings transcripts lies a tale of quiet transformation - a charter revolution that could be the key to unlocking profitability in a way few analysts have fully grasped.

While headlines focus on Delta's investment and Wheels Up's operational improvements, something else is happening behind the scenes. Wheels Up is undergoing a fundamental shift in its business model, moving away from its traditional reliance on programmatic memberships towards a more diverse, and importantly, more profitable structure anchored by charter flights.

This shift is evident in the company's introduction of a new metric: Flight Transaction Value (FTV). FTV captures the full value of what customers spend on all flight services, including charter, revealing a much larger and more dynamic business than previously understood.

In 2023, Wheels Up achieved $1.2 billion in FTV, a significant increase from the year before acquiring Air Partner, the global charter powerhouse. This acquisition didn't just expand Wheels Up's global reach; it fundamentally altered their DNA, pushing charter to the forefront.

While programmatic flying still represents a critical piece of the business, accounting for just over half of FTV, charter is now a formidable force. Here's where things get truly interesting. Charter flights, unlike programmatic flights, are reported on a net revenue basis, meaning only the difference between the cost of chartering the aircraft and the price charged to the customer is recognized as revenue. This accounting quirk has masked the true scale and profitability of Wheels Up's charter operations.

Consider this: Wheels Up reported flight-related revenue of just over $900 million in 2023. However, the actual amount customers spent on those flights, as reflected in FTV, was $1.2 billion, a whopping 30% higher. This discrepancy highlights the potential profit engine hidden within the charter business.

"Hypothetical Scenario: Imagine two customer flights, both costing $20,000. One flies programmatically on Wheels Up's controlled fleet, the other via charter. The combined FTV is $40,000, reflecting the actual customer spend. However, reported revenue would only be around $25,000. The programmatic flight contributes the full $20,000, while the charter flight only contributes the margin, estimated at $5,000."

As Wheels Up continues to grow its charter business, the impact on profitability could be significant, even if reported revenue growth appears modest. This is because each incremental charter flight brings a higher profit margin than an equivalent programmatic flight.

Moreover, the company is strategically targeting corporate customers, who represent a growing percentage of their FTV. Corporate flying, with its preference for larger cabin classes and longer-stage flights, typically generates higher margins. The synergy with Delta further amplifies this potential, opening access to Delta's extensive corporate customer base.

Wheels Up's commitment to achieving positive adjusted EBITDA this year hinges on this charter-driven transformation. By optimizing their fleet size, consolidating maintenance operations, and leveraging the operational expertise of their Delta-infused leadership team, Wheels Up is laying the groundwork for a profitable future.

Shifting Business Mix: Programmatic vs. Charter FTV

This chart, derived from information in the latest earnings transcripts, showcases the evolving composition of Wheels Up's business.

The financial implications are clear. Wheels Up's fastest-growing business segments - charter and corporate flying - are also the ones with the highest margins. As the company continues to execute this strategic shift, it's not just operational metrics that will improve, but financial performance as well. Perhaps the key to unlocking Wheels Up's long-term success isn't in the skies above, but in the innovative business model taking shape below.

"Fun Fact: Did you know Kenny Dichter, the founder of Wheels Up, is a passionate advocate for making private aviation more accessible? He even coined the term "democratizing private aviation" to describe his vision. While this vision faced challenges in the company's early years, it's this same drive for innovation that's fueling their current evolution towards a more sustainable, charter-centric model."