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After the books closed

After the books closed: the quarter's biggest news happened too late to be in the numbers

Calls Tested
497
Answered YES
13
Hit Rate
2.6%
rare by design

First Foundation Inc. (FFWM) — this company's answers

NO on the Q3 2021 call 2021-10-26 B
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2021 call → NO我们根据提供的财报电话会议记录,判断管理层是否报告了在报告期结束或之后不久发生的、最重要的积极进展,且这些进展对报告结果影响很小或没有影响,并被视为公司当前方向的关键。 分析记录内容: - 管理层提到多个积极进展,如贷款发放、存款增长、财富管理、加密货币合作等。 - 关于时间点:提到“我们最近扩大了在洛杉矶的业务,开设了Sherman Oaks分行,该地点已被证明非常成功。”但未明确说明是否在季度末或之后。 - 提到“我们继续通过NYDIG和Fiserv合作推进加密货币产品……我们相信这将在未来几个月内推出,正式推出在Q1。”这是未来计划,不是已发生事件。 - 提到“我们正在等待监管机构批准收购First Florida Integrity Bank,我们仍预计在第四季度获得批准。”这是未来事件。 - 提到“我们在德克萨斯州的扩张努力取得了良好进展,包括开设了Irving的LPO……以及Plano的零售分行,我们预计明年初开业。”这些是未来或正在进行,但未明确说在季度末后发生。 - 关于贷款发放,提到“我们产生了802百万美元的贷款,略低于上季度的创纪录水平,我们相信这反映了夏季典型的放缓。”没有强调后期事件。 - 关于存款,提到“我们有意减少某些存款账户……以改善存款结构。”没有时间点强调。 - 关于证券化,提到“我们成功完成了4.19亿美元的多户住宅贷款证券化。”但未说明时间点是否在季度末。 - 关于财富管理,提到“达到峰值水平……增加1.09亿美元有机净增长。”未强调时间点。 管理层没有明确说“在季度末或之后发生了重大积极事件,且这些事件对报告结果影响很小”。相反,他们提到的是持续进展和未来计划。没有具体指出某个事件发生在报告期最后几周或之后,并强调其重要性。 因此,答案应为NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management report that the MOST IMPORTANT POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS of the period happened SO LATE IN THE REPORTED PERIOD, OR SHORTLY AFTER IT ENDED, that the results being presented contain little or none of their effect — with management itself marking the timing? Answer YES when management's own words convey, in whatever form fits the business, ONE coherent situation with BOTH halves present: (1) LATE-BREAKING, CONCRETE POSITIVE EVENTS. Management points to specific favorable developments that actually occurred near the end of the reported period or in the weeks since it closed — real events, not hopes or pipeline. The events may take whatever form fits the industry: a contract, order, customer, or program signed or won late in the period or after quarter-end; a facility, location, product, or service that opened, launched, or shipped its first volumes in the final stretch or just afterward; an approval, certification, or qualification obtained late that has already begun converting into business; a large customer that went live, began ordering, or expanded right at the close or since; an acquisition or capability completed at or after period-end that is now operating. What matters is that management itself anchors the timing — saying in substance 'late in the quarter,' 'in the final weeks,' 'at the very end of the period,' 'since quarter-end,' 'subsequent to the close,' 'just after the period ended,' or equivalent — for events that are described as done or now happening, not merely expected. (2) MANAGEMENT TREATS THEM AS THE REAL STORY THE NUMBERS MISSED. Management conveys, directly or plainly in substance, that because of this timing the reported results reflect little or none of these developments — and treats them as consequential to where the company is now heading, for example by discussing how they will contribute in coming periods, how the company is now delivering or ramping them, or by contrasting the period's reported figures with the level of business the company is already doing as it exits. The late events should be presented as meaningful relative to the company's current size — capable of changing its trajectory — rather than as routine items in a long list. Answer NO if the period's positive developments are described as spread across the quarter in the ordinary way, with no emphasis on late or post-period timing. NO if the late-dated items are only letters of intent, negotiations, pipeline, expected signings, or events still contingent on approvals, financing, or decisions not yet made. NO if the late events are routine in scale for this company — the normal cadence of wins or openings it always reports — with no sense that they change its level of business. NO if management mentions timing only as an excuse for weak results without concrete late-arriving positives now in hand. NO if the post-period mention is a boilerplate subsequent-events disclosure that management does not connect to the company's trajectory. NO if the timing framing appears only in an analyst's question or model that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-03-21 C+
KOPN Kopin Corporation Q4 2023 2024-03-14 C+
SCPH scPharmaceuticals Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B
NBTX Nanobiotix S.A. Q2 2023 2023-09-27 D
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Q1 2023 2022-09-08 C+
YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Q2 2022 2022-08-25 C+
VNRX VolitionRx Limited Q1 2022 2022-05-12 F
OPK OPKO Health, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-09 D
BFIN BankFinancial Corporation Q1 2022 2022-05-06 A
RNW ReNew Energy Global Plc Q2 2022 2021-11-18 C
BFI BurgerFi International, Inc. Q3 2021 2021-11-12 C
LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. Q2 2017 2017-08-06 C
PLAB Photronics, Inc. Q2 2017 2017-05-17 C+

How the model reasoned

OPK · Q1 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management report that the MOST IMPORTANT POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS of the period happened SO LATE IN THE REPORTED PERIOD, OR SHORTLY AFTER IT ENDED, that the results being presented...YES The transcript shows management treating the ModeX acquisition (announced and closed on the call date, May 9) and the Sema4/GeneDx deal (closed April 29) as major positive developments that occurred after the Q1 period ended. These are framed as key steps toward unlocking value and are highlighted as the "exciting announcement" that changed the call format.
RNW · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management report that the MOST IMPORTANT POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS of the period happened SO LATE IN THE REPORTED PERIOD, OR SHORTLY AFTER IT ENDED, that the results being presented...YES The transcript shows management explicitly marking the timing of key positive developments: 400 MW commissioned "since the end of the quarter" (bringing operating capacity to 7 GW today, with another 400 MW scheduled "over the next couple of weeks"), plus the completed Telangana acquisition adding 260 MW.
ASM · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management report that the MOST IMPORTANT POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS of the period happened SO LATE IN THE REPORTED PERIOD, OR SHORTLY AFTER IT ENDED, that the results being presented...

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.