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After the books closed

After the books closed: the quarter's biggest news happened too late to be in the numbers

Calls Tested
497
Answered YES
13
Hit Rate
2.6%
rare by design

McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) — this company's answers

NO on the Q2 2018 call 2018-06-28 C+
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2018 call → NO我们根据提供的财报电话会议记录,判断管理层是否报告了最重要的积极发展发生在报告期结束或之后,以至于结果几乎没有包含这些影响,并且管理层自己指出了这种时间安排。 分析:管理层在电话会议中提到了许多积极发展,但我们需要寻找是否有具体事件发生在报告期(第二季度,截至5月31日)结束或之后,并且管理层明确表示这些事件对结果影响很小或没有影响,但它们是重要的。 在记录中,管理层提到了: - 在第二季度,他们取得了强劲的业绩,但有些发展是在季度末或之后发生的。 - 例如,关于定价行动:Mike说“late in the second quarter”采取了定价行动,这些行动将在第三和第四季度全面生效。这意味着第二季度结果没有完全反映这些定价。 - 关于法国芥末广告:Lawrence说“This campaign actually kicked off this week”(本周开始),即第三季度初,所以第二季度没有影响。 - 关于Frank's和French's的营销:他们计划在第二季度增加营销,但“more significant in the second half of 2018 than in the first half”,所以第二季度没有完全反映。 - 关于分销收益:他们提到“We are just beginning to see the benefits of the additional sizes come through the consumption data”,意味着这些收益在第二季度末才开始显现。 - 关于新SKU:他们提到“we have launched new SKUs in seasoning and dip mixes”但可能是在季度内,但具体时间不明确。 但关键的是,管理层是否将这些后期事件视为“最重要的积极发展”,并且明确表示结果几乎没有包含它们?管理层在回答问题时提到了一些时间安排,但整体上,他们强调第二季度业绩强劲,并且符合预期。他们没有明确说“最重要的积极发展发生在季度末之后,所以结果没有反映它们”。相反,他们提到了一些将在下半年产生影响的计划,但这是正常的业务节奏。 此外,管理层重申了全年指引,没有上调,这表明他们认为第二季度业绩符合计划,没有重大后期事件改变轨迹。 因此,答案应为NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management report that the MOST IMPORTANT POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS of the period happened SO LATE IN THE REPORTED PERIOD, OR SHORTLY AFTER IT ENDED, that the results being presented contain little or none of their effect — with management itself marking the timing? Answer YES when management's own words convey, in whatever form fits the business, ONE coherent situation with BOTH halves present: (1) LATE-BREAKING, CONCRETE POSITIVE EVENTS. Management points to specific favorable developments that actually occurred near the end of the reported period or in the weeks since it closed — real events, not hopes or pipeline. The events may take whatever form fits the industry: a contract, order, customer, or program signed or won late in the period or after quarter-end; a facility, location, product, or service that opened, launched, or shipped its first volumes in the final stretch or just afterward; an approval, certification, or qualification obtained late that has already begun converting into business; a large customer that went live, began ordering, or expanded right at the close or since; an acquisition or capability completed at or after period-end that is now operating. What matters is that management itself anchors the timing — saying in substance 'late in the quarter,' 'in the final weeks,' 'at the very end of the period,' 'since quarter-end,' 'subsequent to the close,' 'just after the period ended,' or equivalent — for events that are described as done or now happening, not merely expected. (2) MANAGEMENT TREATS THEM AS THE REAL STORY THE NUMBERS MISSED. Management conveys, directly or plainly in substance, that because of this timing the reported results reflect little or none of these developments — and treats them as consequential to where the company is now heading, for example by discussing how they will contribute in coming periods, how the company is now delivering or ramping them, or by contrasting the period's reported figures with the level of business the company is already doing as it exits. The late events should be presented as meaningful relative to the company's current size — capable of changing its trajectory — rather than as routine items in a long list. Answer NO if the period's positive developments are described as spread across the quarter in the ordinary way, with no emphasis on late or post-period timing. NO if the late-dated items are only letters of intent, negotiations, pipeline, expected signings, or events still contingent on approvals, financing, or decisions not yet made. NO if the late events are routine in scale for this company — the normal cadence of wins or openings it always reports — with no sense that they change its level of business. NO if management mentions timing only as an excuse for weak results without concrete late-arriving positives now in hand. NO if the post-period mention is a boilerplate subsequent-events disclosure that management does not connect to the company's trajectory. NO if the timing framing appears only in an analyst's question or model that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-03-21 C+
KOPN Kopin Corporation Q4 2023 2024-03-14 C+
SCPH scPharmaceuticals Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B
NBTX Nanobiotix S.A. Q2 2023 2023-09-27 D
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Q1 2023 2022-09-08 C+
YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Q2 2022 2022-08-25 C+
VNRX VolitionRx Limited Q1 2022 2022-05-12 F
OPK OPKO Health, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-09 D
BFIN BankFinancial Corporation Q1 2022 2022-05-06 A
RNW ReNew Energy Global Plc Q2 2022 2021-11-18 C
BFI BurgerFi International, Inc. Q3 2021 2021-11-12 C
LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. Q2 2017 2017-08-06 C
PLAB Photronics, Inc. Q2 2017 2017-05-17 C+

How the model reasoned

OPK · Q1 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management report that the MOST IMPORTANT POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS of the period happened SO LATE IN THE REPORTED PERIOD, OR SHORTLY AFTER IT ENDED, that the results being presented...YES The transcript shows management treating the ModeX acquisition (announced and closed on the call date, May 9) and the Sema4/GeneDx deal (closed April 29) as major positive developments that occurred after the Q1 period ended. These are framed as key steps toward unlocking value and are highlighted as the "exciting announcement" that changed the call format.
RNW · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management report that the MOST IMPORTANT POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS of the period happened SO LATE IN THE REPORTED PERIOD, OR SHORTLY AFTER IT ENDED, that the results being presented...YES The transcript shows management explicitly marking the timing of key positive developments: 400 MW commissioned "since the end of the quarter" (bringing operating capacity to 7 GW today, with another 400 MW scheduled "over the next couple of weeks"), plus the completed Telangana acquisition adding 260 MW.
ASM · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management report that the MOST IMPORTANT POSITIVE DEVELOPMENTS of the period happened SO LATE IN THE REPORTED PERIOD, OR SHORTLY AFTER IT ENDED, that the results being presented...

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.