Already inside the gate: the company is specified into someone else's next wave, and the wave has not yet shipped
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2018 call → NOThe question asks whether management describes the company as already being chosen/designed into another organization's future product/program, where the wave hasn't yet arrived, and the position is large relative to the company. Looking at the transcript, the key discussion is about Adient Aerospace, a joint venture with Boeing. Let me examine what's said: Bruce McDonald says: "the formation of Adient Aerospace, a joint venture that we formed that we announced a couple of weeks ago between ourselves and Boeing where Adient has a majority stake of company just over 50%. This act --the Adient Aerospace joint venture will develop manufacture and sell a portfolio seating products that airlines and aircraft leasing companies for both production line fit and retrofit content configurations, expanding Adient's revenues and profit for beyond the auto industry is a key part of the company's five year marker" He also says: "When we think about the size of the addressable market for commercial airlines seating it is quite large about $4.5 billion today and is expected to grow at over $6 billion by 2026." Jeff Stafeil says: "one point is refer to slide 18, the guidance provided today includes the impact of aircraft investments which we pointed at the January auto conference is expected to be about $30 million, of which Boeing will reimburses for their share. As noted in our auto conference materials, both Boeing and Adient are initially contributed approximately $28 million each to fund the venture." Now, is this a case where Adient has been "chosen, specified, qualified, designed in" to Boeing's future product? The joint venture is between Adient and Boeing - it's a new company they're forming together. This isn't really Adient being selected as a supplier inside Boeing's next product. It's a joint venture where both companies are contributing. The question asks about being "locked into position inside another organization's future product" - this is more of a partnership/joint venture formation, not a design win where Adient is the supplier. Also, the joint venture is just being formed - it's not that Adient has been selected and is waiting for the wave. The JV itself is the new entity that will develop products. This is more of a new business venture than a secured position inside someone else's next thing.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
| CLGN | CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-04-04 | F |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| AIRG | Airgain, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-09 | F |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-07-28 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
CUBI · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes a white-label partnership with T-Mobile where BankMobile provides services under T-Mobile's brand, with deposits expected to start in the next year after the launch. However, this does not meet the criteria for a secured position inside T-Mobile's next product or program. The language focuses on a partnership relationship that is still being launched, rather than a design win or qualification already embedded in T-Mobile's future offering. Management refers to it as an "expected white label partnership" and "working on" the launch, indicating it is not yet locked in as part of T-Mobile's committed plan.
EMKR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes an agreement with Kratos for Inertial Navigation Systems to be included in the XQ58 Valkyrie drone, with the Air Force planning to acquire at least 1,000 units. However, this is framed as an announcement of a new agreement rather than a secured, locked-in position already designed 100% into the platform with volume guaranteed.
NC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will arrive automatically whe...