Already inside the gate: the company is specified into someone else's next wave, and the wave has not yet shipped
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2021 call → NOWe need to determine if the transcript describes a situation where the company has already been chosen/designed into another organization's future product/program/platform, and that wave hasn't arrived yet, and it's large relative to the company. The transcript discusses several initiatives: cryptocurrency offering with NYDIG and Fiserv. Let's examine. Scott Kavanaugh: "We continue to pursue the cryptocurrency offering through our collaboration with NYDIG and Fiserv to bring Bitcoin into banking. We are closely working with our regulators on the scope of our solution, and we believe this is on track to launch in the coming months with the official rollout in Q1." David DePillo: "As Scott mentioned, cryptocurrency project with NYDIG and Fiserv continues to successfully move forward. we plan to have a very thoughtful offering for clients looking to access Bitcoin within the traditional banking system." Also later: "What we're really trying to accomplish is getting the first series of products to market. And we had talked about our digital delivery expansion and really providing what we would consider a modern-day mobile app or what we would consider a consolidated wallet for our customers to have a 360 view of their entire financial relationship. As part of that, it's giving them the ability to have execution with Bitcoin to be able to execute with NYDIG and we will be the reporting entity that will provide that through our traditional bank channel." So the company is partnering with NYDIG and Fiserv to offer Bitcoin to its clients. But is the company "inside someone else's next thing"? The question is about the company being chosen, specified, qualified, designed into another organization's future product. Here, the company is the bank that will offer Bitcoin to its customers via NYDIG's platform. The wave belongs to the other party? Actually, the company is the one launching the offering to its clients. The counterparty is NYDIG and Fiserv. But the company is the one that will provide the service. The "wave" is the adoption of Bitcoin by the company's clients. But is that a wave belonging to another party? The question says: "the company occupying a secured position within a counterparty's forthcoming product, program, platform, network, facility, or plan".
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
| CLGN | CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-04-04 | F |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| AIRG | Airgain, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-09 | F |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-07-28 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
CUBI · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes a white-label partnership with T-Mobile where BankMobile provides services under T-Mobile's brand, with deposits expected to start in the next year after the launch. However, this does not meet the criteria for a secured position inside T-Mobile's next product or program. The language focuses on a partnership relationship that is still being launched, rather than a design win or qualification already embedded in T-Mobile's future offering. Management refers to it as an "expected white label partnership" and "working on" the launch, indicating it is not yet locked in as part of T-Mobile's committed plan.
EMKR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes an agreement with Kratos for Inertial Navigation Systems to be included in the XQ58 Valkyrie drone, with the Air Force planning to acquire at least 1,000 units. However, this is framed as an announcement of a new agreement rather than a secured, locked-in position already designed 100% into the platform with volume guaranteed.
NC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will arrive automatically whe...