Already inside the gate: the company is specified into someone else's next wave, and the wave has not yet shipped
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2023 call → NOThe question asks whether management describes the company as already being chosen/designed into another organization's future product/program, where the wave hasn't yet arrived, and the position is large relative to the company. Looking at the transcript, the key relationship mentioned is with Terumo in Japan. Let me examine what's said: - "In Japan, Terumo is busy working to get the regulatory approval. And as soon as they will get the regulatory approval, they will start to sell. And meanwhile, IceCure is selling in Japan directly under doctor importation license. And as soon as Terumo will get the PMDA regulatory approval, they will start to do all the sales and marketing activities in Japan." This describes a distribution agreement with Terumo where Terumo is working on regulatory approval. Once approved, Terumo will sell. This is a distribution arrangement - Terumo is a distributor. The company has an Exclusive Distribution Rights Agreement with Terumo (mentioned earlier: "the end of the revenue recognition from the Exclusive Distribution Rights Agreement with the Terumo Corporation in Japan"). Is this a "secured position inside someone else's next thing"? It's a distribution agreement. The company is already selling in Japan directly. Terumo will take over sales once they get regulatory approval. This is more of a distribution partnership where Terumo will sell the product - it's not really "designed into" Terumo's product. It's a distribution deal, which the question says is "ordinary vendor selling, purchase orders, resale, or distribution where the company must keep competing for each order against alternatives" - though here it's exclusive distribution. Actually, the question asks about being "locked into position inside another organization's future product, program, platform, build-out, or standard operating plan." A distribution agreement where Terumo will sell IceCure's product once regulatory approval is obtained - this is more of a resale/distribution arrangement. The company isn't designed into Terumo's product; Terumo is just going to distribute IceCure's existing product. Also, the revenue from Terumo has already ended ("the end of the revenue recognition from the Exclusive Distribution Rights Agreement with the Terumo Corporation in Japan" - this was a one-time revenue recognition that has ended).
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
| CLGN | CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-04-04 | F |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| AIRG | Airgain, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-09 | F |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-07-28 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
CUBI · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes a white-label partnership with T-Mobile where BankMobile provides services under T-Mobile's brand, with deposits expected to start in the next year after the launch. However, this does not meet the criteria for a secured position inside T-Mobile's next product or program. The language focuses on a partnership relationship that is still being launched, rather than a design win or qualification already embedded in T-Mobile's future offering. Management refers to it as an "expected white label partnership" and "working on" the launch, indicating it is not yet locked in as part of T-Mobile's committed plan.
EMKR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes an agreement with Kratos for Inertial Navigation Systems to be included in the XQ58 Valkyrie drone, with the Air Force planning to acquire at least 1,000 units. However, this is framed as an announcement of a new agreement rather than a secured, locked-in position already designed 100% into the platform with volume guaranteed.
NC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will arrive automatically whe...