Already inside the gate: the company is specified into someone else's next wave, and the wave has not yet shipped
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2018 call → NOWe need to determine if the company has already been chosen/designed into another organization's future product/program, and that the wave hasn't arrived yet, and the position is large relative to the company. Looking at the transcript, the key discussion is about the "Big Box Surge" initiative and leasing of vacant boxes. They mention executing leases for former vacant boxes: Gander Outdoors replacing Gander Mountain at Bayport, and Party City at Centennial Gateway. Also, they have five executed letters of intent with high quality anchored tenants. But that's about leasing their own properties to tenants. That's not about being designed into someone else's product. Another point: They mention "3-R activity" - redevelopment, repositioning, etc. They have projects under construction. But that's their own development. The question is about being inside someone else's next thing. For example, a supplier being designed into a manufacturer's product. Here, the company is a REIT that owns shopping centers. They lease space to retailers. The retailers are their customers. The company is not a component supplier. The only possible thing is the "fixed CAM" initiative, but that's about their own leases. Also, they mention "Toys"R"Us" lease amendments, but that's about a tenant that is closing. The transcript does not describe any situation where the company has been selected, qualified, or designed into another organization's future product or program. The company is a real estate owner, not a supplier. The tenants are the ones with products, but the company is not inside their product. Thus, the answer is NO.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
| CLGN | CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-04-04 | F |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| AIRG | Airgain, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-09 | F |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-07-28 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
CUBI · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes a white-label partnership with T-Mobile where BankMobile provides services under T-Mobile's brand, with deposits expected to start in the next year after the launch. However, this does not meet the criteria for a secured position inside T-Mobile's next product or program. The language focuses on a partnership relationship that is still being launched, rather than a design win or qualification already embedded in T-Mobile's future offering. Management refers to it as an "expected white label partnership" and "working on" the launch, indicating it is not yet locked in as part of T-Mobile's committed plan.
EMKR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes an agreement with Kratos for Inertial Navigation Systems to be included in the XQ58 Valkyrie drone, with the Air Force planning to acquire at least 1,000 units. However, this is framed as an announcement of a new agreement rather than a secured, locked-in position already designed 100% into the platform with volume guaranteed.
NC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will arrive automatically whe...