Already inside the gate: the company is specified into someone else's next wave, and the wave has not yet shipped
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if the transcript describes a situation where the company is already chosen/designed into another organization's future product/program, and that wave hasn't arrived yet, and it's large relative to the company. Let's analyze the transcript. The company is Lindblad Expeditions, an expedition cruise operator. They are building new ships. They have partnerships, notably with National Geographic. They also acquired Natural Habitat. They are launching new vessels: National Geographic Quest (launched July 29, 2017), National Geographic Venture (scheduled June 2018), and a blue-water ship planned for 2019. The question asks: Does management describe that the company has ALREADY BEEN CHOSEN, SPECIFIED, QUALIFIED, DESIGNED IN, OR OTHERWISE LOCKED INTO POSITION INSIDE ANOTHER ORGANIZATION'S FUTURE PRODUCT, PROGRAM, PLATFORM, BUILD-OUT, OR STANDARD OPERATING PLAN — such that when that outside party's own next wave of activity arrives, this company's volume arrives with it automatically — AND does management convey that this position is secured today while the wave itself has not yet shipped, launched, ramped, or begun at scale? We need to find if there is a counterparty whose next act is coming, and Lindblad is already inside it. The most obvious is National Geographic. Lindblad has a partnership with National Geographic. But is that a "future product" of National Geographic? The transcript mentions "our partners at National Geographic" and "the unique position we hold together with our partners at National Geographic." But it doesn't describe a specific upcoming National Geographic program that Lindblad is designed into. It's more of a brand partnership. Another possibility: The new ships themselves are Lindblad's own products, not someone else's. The question is about being inside another organization's future product. For example, a supplier to a larger company. Lindblad is not a supplier; they are the operator. What about the shipyard? They are building ships with a shipyard. But that's not a "future product" of the shipyard that Lindblad is inside; rather, Lindblad is the customer. What about Natural Habitat? They acquired Natural Habitat, but that's an acquisition, not being designed into another's plan.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
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| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-07-28 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
CUBI · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes a white-label partnership with T-Mobile where BankMobile provides services under T-Mobile's brand, with deposits expected to start in the next year after the launch. However, this does not meet the criteria for a secured position inside T-Mobile's next product or program. The language focuses on a partnership relationship that is still being launched, rather than a design win or qualification already embedded in T-Mobile's future offering. Management refers to it as an "expected white label partnership" and "working on" the launch, indicating it is not yet locked in as part of T-Mobile's committed plan.
EMKR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes an agreement with Kratos for Inertial Navigation Systems to be included in the XQ58 Valkyrie drone, with the Air Force planning to acquire at least 1,000 units. However, this is framed as an announcement of a new agreement rather than a secured, locked-in position already designed 100% into the platform with volume guaranteed.
NC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will arrive automatically whe...