Better business coming in than going out: management describes the quality of new intake visibly exceeding what it is re
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if management conveys that the business being taken in now is of visibly higher quality than the business it is finishing or replacing, and that this turnover is real and current, with results improving as the old rolls off. Let's examine the transcript. Management discusses various products: ABTS (packaged part burn-in and test systems), FOX-1P, FOX-XP, etc. They mention that ABTS business is a base business of $2-3 million per quarter, and they are working on projects that could increase this business considerably, but likely not before next fiscal year. They also discuss FOX-1P shipments, and FOX-XP progress. They mention that the FOX-XP is for high power wafers, optical devices, etc. They talk about a customer that has pushed out ramp to summer 2017. The question is whether management contrasts the quality of new incoming business against older business. They do mention that the FOX-XP is a new product with better capabilities, but do they explicitly say that the incoming business is higher quality in terms of economics, margins, terms, etc.? They mention that the FOX-XP is uniquely positioned, but they don't explicitly compare the economics of new orders vs. old. They talk about revenue being down year-to-date but holding to forecast for strong growth. They don't explicitly say that the new business is better priced or better margined than the old. They do mention that the ABTS business has lower margins? Actually, they say that in Q2, revenue from Burn-in systems and WaferPak contactors declined, partially offset by increase in packaged parts system revenue, which has a lower margin. So they note that packaged parts system revenue has lower margin. But that is about the mix in the quarter, not necessarily about incoming vs. outgoing. They don't say that the new business coming in is higher margin than the old. They talk about the FOX-XP being a new product with high potential, but they don't contrast its economics with existing business. They also mention that they are building inventory in anticipation of orders, but that doesn't indicate a quality contrast. The key is whether management conveys that the business they are taking in now is of higher quality than what they are finishing. They do mention that they are shipping FOX-1P systems, which are new, but they don't say that these are better economics.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASB | Associated Banc-Corp | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | A |
| GIII | G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | Q4 2024 | 2024-03-14 | C |
| ALL | The Allstate Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| OEC | Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-17 | B+ |
| BBD | Banco Bradesco S.A. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-09 | D |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | A |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | F |
| ADSK | Autodesk, Inc. | Q3 2019 | 2018-11-20 | A |
| GECC | Great Elm Capital Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-11-13 | B |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-24 | C+ |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| MKC | McCormick & Company, Incorporated | Q2 2018 | 2018-06-28 | C+ |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | B+ |
| ATI | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-24 | B |
| HSTM | HealthStream, Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-10-24 | C |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | Q3 2017 | 2017-10-18 | B+ |
| BLKB | Blackbaud, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-02 | B+ |
HSTM · Q3 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business they're taking in right now is of visibly higher quality than the business they're finishing or letting run off. YES The transcript shows management explicitly contrasting incoming business against outgoing: - Patient Experience: "Existing clients also continue to convert from a phone modality to email and SMS text surveying modality... This conversion trend to continue... expected to have a positive impact... on patient experience margins." (lower price, higher margin shift already happening) - Provider Solutions: "the move from installed software sales to software as service sales... challenge revenue growth... but not profitability growth" and "backlog of unimplemented customers... significantly reduced" - Laerdal/HeartCode: "the new product we believe is right now based on contracts.
GFS · Q3 2021 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business they're taking in right now is of visibly higher quality than the business they're finishing or letting run off. YES The transcript shows management explicitly contrasting the incoming business with the outgoing: compute revenue is declining "as expected" due to customers shifting to smaller nodes, while "newer high-margin customer designs" are ramping in 2H 2022 to offset it. They tie this directly to mix improvement from "d differentiated solutions become a larger portion" and "feature-rich" platforms (FDX, RF SOI, silicon photonics) growing while feature-rich CMOS is flat or down. LTAs signed now carry "pricing improvements" baked in for 2022+, with new agreements committing future capacity at those better terms.
CYBR · Q3 2021 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the new business they're taking in is of higher quality than the old business they're replacing, and that as the old rolls off, results will impro...YES Management explicitly contrasts the incoming subscription business (new logos, SaaS bookings, Privileged Cloud, EPM) as higher-quality than the outgoing perpetual license business it is replacing. They describe it as delivering “faster type of value,” “higher lifetime value over time,” and “more users and more products faster ,” while noting that the current revenue and profitability headwind from the mix shift is “obscuring the P&L” and that results will improve once the transition completes.