Buying its own future output: the company is spending now to own more of the value it already helps create
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes the company currently moving itself further up or down its own value chain, taking ownership or direct control of a step that someone else used to perform, and that this move is already being executed and changing what the company earns or can do. Let's analyze the transcript. The company is Full House Resorts. They are building new casinos: Waukegan (temporary) and Chamonix in Colorado. They are also refurbishing Bronco Billy's. They mention online sports betting licenses. They have three licenses in Colorado, three in Indiana, one in Illinois. They previously contracted out these licenses to operators like Churchill (who pulled out). They are considering whether to contract them out again or do it themselves. They say: "we have been looking at the possibility of doing it ourselves not to compete with DraftKings and FanDuel... But we could offer online sports betting... And just do it really for our own customers, and that allows us to do, because we have mailing lists of each of these casinos and tens of thousands of people. And then we can tie it in that says if you -- when you bet on the final four games and so on, we will give you credit towards around the Gulf or towards a weekend stay at our hotel and it's a lot easier for us to do that than it is for DraftKings or FanDuel, because they don't actually own the hotels, they're a little more complicated. And so we think we could probably do it and make a little bit of money. But maybe more importantly, the bigger opportunity in that area is online gambling where you can actually play a slot machine on your iPad, that's not yet legal in any of the states we're in. But in the States where that's happened, that's been a much bigger market than online sports betting. And that is a field we could do on our own. We think it will be legal in the States we operate in and the not too distant future. And so one of the appeals of trying our own online sports betting is we'd have to hire a handful of people and learn how to market it, learn how to run it and so on. And we would be developing the expertise to get into online gaming when it comes along." This is about online sports betting. They previously contracted out the licenses to third parties (like Churchill). Now they are considering doing it themselves.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIII | G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | Q4 2024 | 2024-03-14 | C |
| KOPN | Kopin Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-14 | C+ |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-30 | F |
| BZUN | Baozun Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-28 | D |
| KMDA | Kamada Ltd. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-16 | B+ |
| SOL | ReneSola Ltd | Q3 2022 | 2022-12-01 | C+ |
| TMCI | Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-13 | B+ |
| HROW | Harrow Health, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-10 | C |
| SLQT | SelectQuote, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-07 | F |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| LPTH | LightPath Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2021-09-09 | D |
| KNDI | Kandi Technologies Group, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-09 | F |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | F |
| PRPO | Precipio, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-11-19 | D |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-24 | C+ |
| KOP | Koppers Holdings Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-12 | C+ |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil Corporation | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-27 | C |
| TOUR | Tuniu Corporation | Q4 2017 | 2018-03-14 | D |
| HSTM | HealthStream, Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-10-24 | C |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| DAN | Dana Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-02 | B |
| GES | Guess?, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2016-05-25 | F |
FLEX · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether Flex Ltd is currently moving itself further up or down its own value chain by taking ownership or control of a step that someone else used to perform. YES The transcript shows Flex is actively internalizing a previously external step in the shoe manufacturing value chain by taking ownership of automation, process redesign, and end-to-end production for Nike. Management describes this as an ongoing, real-time execution: “we’re vertically integrating technologies,” “rethinking all of the whole supply process we’re applying automation technologies,” “we’ve manufactured over 1 million pairs,” and “we took over the facility in September” for Bose, with the Nike factory transition “complete by October.” They explain the value capture: the company now keeps margin it previously paid away, controls quality, cost, supply, and timing previously constrained by a counterparty, and serves customers it could not reach through the old chain. While acknowledging the ramp is early (losses persist through Q2, breakeven expected by year-end), the move is already changing what Flex earns and can do, not merely planned or contemplated. This meets all three required elements.
XOM · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether ExxonMobil is currently moving itself further up or down its own value chain by taking ownership or control of a step that someone else used to perform. YES The transcript shows ExxonMobil actively internalizing logistics and supply-chain steps that previously required external partners or intermediaries. Neil Chapman explicitly states they “will get engaged in the connectivity between the Permian and our Gulf Coast refining and chemical assets,” with equity participation in logistics, the Wink terminal acquisition (closed late 2017), 11 active completion crews, and a signed letter of intent for a 1 million bpd long-haul crude pipeline. These moves are already producing results: Gulf Coast refineries are “already processing our production levels and more, capturing the benefits of disadvantaged feed cost.
KMDA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes the company currently moving itself further up or down its own value chain, taking ownership of a step that someone else used to perform, and that th...YES The transcript shows management describing the 2021 acquisition of the Beaumont plasma collection center as the company's entry into U.S. plasma collection, with the explicit goal of becoming a "fully integrated specialty plasma product company." They state they are "successfully expanding" capacity at the first center (already acquired and operational) and plan to open the second in Houston in early 2024. This is presented as an active, ongoing move to internalize plasma collection that previously depended on external suppliers.