Customers eating the friction: buyers are visibly absorbing cost, delay, or inconvenience to keep this specific company
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2021 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes customers currently putting up with real cost, delay, or inconvenience to keep doing business with Hershey specifically, and presents this as happening now. Look for evidence of customers absorbing friction, accepting allocations, waiting, etc., due to Hershey's own capacity constraints, not just industry-wide shortages. In the transcript, management discusses supply chain challenges, capacity constraints, and how they are managing demand. For example, Michele Buck mentions that they have "elevated demand" and "supply chain challenges" that prevent them from meeting all demand. They talk about prioritizing core items, and that they are "very agile" in handling support. They also mention that they are "doing our very best to get as much product out there as possible" for Halloween, and that there are "very picked-over" shelves. This suggests that customers are facing shortages and limited availability, but they are still buying. However, is this due to Hershey's own capacity issues or industry-wide? The transcript indicates that Hershey has its own capacity constraints, but also that the whole industry is facing supply chain issues. The question is whether customers are tolerating friction specifically because they want Hershey's product, not just because there's no alternative. Management says they are holding on to market share gains, and that they are seeing strong demand. They also mention that they are "bullish on the future" and that they are investing in capacity. But do they explicitly describe customers waiting, accepting allocations, or not defecting? They mention that they are "prioritizing core items" and that they have "elevated demand" but they don't say customers are waiting or accepting partial shipments. They do say that they are "doing our very best to get as much product out there as possible" for Halloween, implying that they can't fully meet demand, but they don't describe customer behavior in response. They also mention that they have "very strong double-digit growth" for Halloween, which suggests customers are buying despite shortages. But is that because they are loyal to Hershey or because that's all that's available? The transcript doesn't explicitly say that customers are enduring friction specifically for Hershey. They talk about industry-wide supply chain challenges.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFIE | Profire Energy, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-13 | B |
| A | Agilent Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2022-11-21 | B+ |
| PLOW | Douglas Dynamics, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-01 | B+ |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| ZBRA | Zebra Technologies Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | C+ |
| ZVIA | Zevia PBC | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | B |
| CLAR | Clarus Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-09 | B |
| RYAM | Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-04 | D |
| NGVT | Ingevity Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-25 | B |
| FLUX | Flux Power Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-10 | D |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CROX | Crocs, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-10-21 | B+ |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-20 | B+ |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-12 | A |
| JAZZ | Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-08 | B |
| SHEN | Shenandoah Telecommunications Company | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-03 | C+ |
| BPMC | Blueprint Medicines Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-02 | C+ |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-02 | C+ |
| LIND | Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-06 | C |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-06 | B |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-13 | B |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
NGVT · Q4 2021 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's customers are CURRENTLY PUTTING UP WITH REAL COST, DELAY, OR INCONVENIENCE in order to keep doing business with THIS company specifically —...YES Management describes customers absorbing real friction—price increases averaging over 20% in Performance Chemicals, freight and energy costs up sharply, and supply-chain constraints—while continuing to order and accept terms. They explicitly tie share gains in adhesives to customers enduring the dynamic, stressed environment and choosing Ingevity when others could not deliver, and they note customers are already seeing the benefit of those price increases flowing through in 2022. This is presented as current behavior, not hypothetical or industry-wide only. The answer is therefore YES. No, the tolerance is not chiefly attributed to an industry-wide shortage; the transcript shows customers actively accepting the friction with Ingevity specifically. No, there is no isolated anecdote or future fear; the evidence is behavioral and current. No, customers are not described as defecting or cancelling. No, the friction is not merely feared for the future.
GFS · Q3 2021 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's customers are CURRENTLY PUTTING UP WITH REAL COST, DELAY, OR INCONVENIENCE in order to keep doing business with THIS company specifically —...YES Management describes customers enduring real, current friction—capacity shortages, allocations, and extended lead times for 2022 supply—while still committing to long-term agreements, prepayments, and access fees to secure GF’s capacity. They explicitly note customers accepting rationed access and continuing to order rather than defecting, framing 2022 demand as robust and GF-specific through single-source wins and differentiated platforms. This behavioral evidence (prepayments, LTAs, and continued ordering) is presented as occurring now, not merely asserted as loyalty or industry-wide necessity. The transcript shows customers visibly absorbing these costs to retain access to GF’s offerings.
FLUX · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's customers are CURRENTLY PUTTING UP WITH REAL COST, DELAY, OR INCONVENIENCE in order to keep doing business with THIS company specifically —...YES Management describes customers enduring real, current friction—production and shipping delays from supply chain disruptions—while continuing to place orders, maintain long-term relationships, and keep orders in place without cancellations or defections. They explicitly note that despite these delays, they did not lose customers or orders, and they are securing inventory specifically to protect customer orders and relationships. The backlog is growing to a record $31.4 million, with new orders of $19.8 million received, and customers are waiting for batteries due to production constraints.