Question Bank › Earned recurrence: demand arriving from first-ha

Earned recurrence: demand arriving from first-hand-proven buyers, still early

Calls Tested
489
Answered YES
4
Hit Rate
0.8%
rare by design

Sysco Corporation (SYY) — this company's answers

NO on the Q1 2023 call 2022-11-01 C+
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2023 call → NO我们根据提供的财报电话会议记录来判断。管理层是否描述了当前业务增长中有意义的部分来自有直接经验的客户(即他们自己主动回来购买),而不是公司推销,并且这种模式还处于早期,大部分贡献还在未来。 在记录中,Kevin Hourican 提到“Sysco Your Way”计划,客户反应良好,现有客户每周购买更多产品,新客户因为看到卡车和销售代表而加入。这暗示了客户体验驱动增长。但这是否是“有意义的份额”且“早期”?他提到“The top and bottom line results from the program are exceeding our expectations. We are winning substantial new customers within these neighborhoods and existing customers are buying more product on a weekly basis.” 并且“we will continue to roll out the program to applicable neighborhoods in the coming quarters.” 这表明该计划正在扩展,但并未明确说大部分贡献还在未来。另外,他提到“Our sales teams continue to win market share, with Q1 being one of our strongest quarters of net new customer wins.” 这更多是销售推动。 关于“earned recurrence”,即客户因体验而主动回来,记录中是否有明确描述?在Sysco Your Way部分,客户因为服务而增加购买,但这是公司主动提供的服务,并非客户自发。另外,没有提到客户推荐或口碑。整体上,增长主要归因于销售团队、市场份额、新客户赢得,以及通货膨胀管理。没有明确说“有意义的份额来自客户自发重复购买”且“早期”。 因此,答案应为NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management describe that a MEANINGFUL SHARE OF THE COMPANY'S CURRENT BUSINESS GROWTH is arriving WITHOUT THE COMPANY HAVING TO PERSUADE THE BUYER — that is, demand is increasingly generated by parties with DIRECT PRIOR EXPERIENCE of what the company provides (customers with first-hand experience expanding, returning, renewing, deepening, or referencing; parties that have already used, deployed, trialed, tested, sampled, piloted, or bought an initial piece of what the company sells now coming back for more; an installed base pulling follow-on business through on its own), rather than by the company's own selling, marketing, pricing, promotions, or new-logo acquisition push — AND does management convey that this earned-recurrence pattern is STILL EARLY enough that most of the business it will generate is still ahead of the reported results? Answer YES when management's own words convey, in whatever form fits the business, ONE coherent phenomenon: parties with first-hand experience of the company's offering are generating business on their own initiative — as a real, current, observable pattern in how the company's demand is being produced today — and management treats this as meaningful to where the company is heading with most of the contribution still ahead. Management need not use any particular vocabulary; it may show up in how it describes demand sources, customer behavior, reorder dynamics, expansion of proven relationships, or the decreasing role of persuasion in winning business. Answer NO if growth is described mainly through the company's own selling push, pricing actions, promotions, marketing, or new-logo acquisition, however strong. NO if the 'return' activity is merely a contractually forced renewal, a standing subscription auto-charge, or an ordinary slow-order cadence, with no sense that prior experience itself is now driving the demand. NO if the earned recurrence is only hoped for, planned, or projected rather than already observable. NO if the only evidence is one isolated anecdote with no broader pattern. NO if the recurrence is already mature and fully reflected in the reported results, with no meaningful contribution still ahead. NO if management attributes the shift to a one-time event, a temporary spike, or a pull-forward it expects to reverse. NO if the idea appears only in an analyst's question that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
LTRX Lantronix, Inc. Q3 2024 2024-04-29 C
DASH DoorDash, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 C+
ATI Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Q1 2018 2018-04-24 B
UPLD Upland Software, Inc. Q4 2017 2018-03-08 C+

How the model reasoned

ATI · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful share of the company's current business growth arriving without the company having to persuade the buyer, from parties with direct prior...YES Management describes a meaningful share of current growth coming from parties with direct prior experience—Boeing and Airbus exercising their supply chain after assessing geopolitical risks, plus customers awarding forgings based on 2017 actions and continuing to do so in 2018—while treating this as still early, with most of the contribution 2019–2020 and beyond as the multi-year production expansion unfolds.
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that a MEANINGFUL SHARE OF THE COMPANY'S CURRENT BUSINESS GROWTH is arriving WITHOUT THE COMPANY HAVING TO PERSUADE THE BUYER — demand generated by parties wi...
DASH · Q3 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that a MEANINGFUL SHARE OF THE COMPANY'S CURRENT BUSINESS GROWTH is arriving WITHOUT THE COMPANY HAVING TO PERSUADE THE BUYER — demand generated by parties wi...

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.