First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route: the same engine that just produced has visibly more already scheduled
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2017 call → NOWe need answer YES/NO. Need analyze transcript. Need identify engine with first tranche landed and larger tranches in motion. Let's parse. Company Aehr Test. Products: ABTS packaged part burn-in, FOX wafer level test/burn-in including FOX-1P, FOX-15, FOX-XP. In Q2 fiscal 2017 (quarter ended Nov 30, 2016). Management says: "We had net revenues of $4.2 million... While revenue year-to-date down... continue to hold forecast for strong fiscal year-over-year growth in revenue, bookings, bottom line." They discuss ABTS base business, projects could increase but not before next fiscal year. FOX-1P: "During the second quarter, we shipped multiple FOX-1P Single Wafer Level Test and Burn-in Systems to our lead customer for this product." That is a landed first tranche? They shipped multiple FOX-1P systems to lead customer. Is there larger tranches in motion for same engine? They say "We continue to see significant opportunities for the FOX-1P product line, however... consistently seen greater interest and considerably larger market opportunities for our Multi-Wafer FOX-15 and new FOX-XP systems." That is not same engine? FOX-1P is single wafer; FOX-XP is multi-wafer. They shipped FOX-1P, but continuation? They don't mention committed orders for FOX-1P beyond shipped. They mention opportunities, not committed. So FOX-1P first tranche landed but continuation is hoped-for demand, not secured. So no. FOX-XP: They expect to ship initial FOX-XP test cell in current fiscal third quarter (Q3 fiscal 2017, i.e., Dec-Feb). That is not yet shipped in just-reported Q2. They have initial lead customer that purchased and accepted first FOX-XP in engineering configuration earlier in 2016. They are demonstrating burn-in. They received info implying slightly later ramp with capacity shipments needed in summer 2017 rather than end calendar Q1. They are taking steps to shorten lead times. So for FOX-XP, first tranche? The engineering system was accepted earlier in 2016, not in just-reported period? The question asks "in the just-reported period" - first tranche actually delivered in just-reported period. The engineering system was earlier. The initial production FOX-XP is expected to ship in current Q3, not yet. So no landed in just-reported period. Also continuation is delayed, not committed? They say "believe they will need systems" and "could change on short notice" - not secured.
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| TBLA | Taboola.com Ltd. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B+ |
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| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-09 | C+ |
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| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-31 | C+ |
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| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
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| DG | Dollar General Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-26 | A |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-20 | B+ |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | C |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-09-13 | B+ |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | B+ |
| SATS | EchoStar Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | C+ |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-02 | C+ |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-08 | A |
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| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-10 | B |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-03 | C+ |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Company | Q3 2016 | 2016-05-05 | D |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | F |
| DD | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-26 | B+ |
CDMO · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: NO The transcript describes the first phase of the Myford expansion as now operational and scheduling client projects, with management noting they are already utilizing the new space and that an extra $5 million is arguably in backlog attributable to it.
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: YES The transcript identifies the new-campus expansion strategy as the engine. East Point opened in Q1 with 29 starts and $90k revenue (first tranche, concrete and delivered).
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes one identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: a first tranche has actually landed in the just-reported period, and larger tranches...