First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route: the same engine that just produced has visibly more already scheduled
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2024 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business with both: (1) a first tranche actually landed in the just-reported period (Q1 2024), and (2) larger tranches already in motion behind it, with the remainder larger than what's been delivered. Look for specific contracts, programs, etc. The transcript mentions Bellefield project with Amazon: signed 15-year contract for second phase (Bellefield II) with additional 500 MW solar and 500 MW storage. The entire project including Bellefield I (contracted last year) will provide 2 GW combined solar and storage for Amazon. So Bellefield I was contracted last year, Bellefield II this quarter. But is Bellefield I actually delivered? The transcript says "we signed a 15-year contract with Amazon for the second phase of our Bellefield project" - that's a contract signing, not delivery. The first phase was contracted last year, but is it operational? The transcript says "The entire project, including Bellefield I, which we contracted last year, will provide 2 gigawatts" - that's future. So no delivery yet. Other possibilities: They added 600 MW of new projects to operating portfolio, including Chevelon Butte (largest wind in Arizona) and Delta (first utility-scale wind in Mississippi). These are operational. But is there a larger tranche of the same engine? They have a pipeline of 66 GW, but that's not specific. They have a backlog of signed contracts of 12.7 GW. But the question is about a specific engine with a landed first tranche and larger tranches already in motion. Consider the data center contracts: They have nearly 6 GW of long-term contracts directly with technology companies. But that's cumulative, not necessarily a single engine with a first tranche landed this quarter. The Bellefield II is a new contract, but the first tranche (Bellefield I) was contracted last year, not delivered. So no. What about the utility rate case? AES Indiana got rate case approval in April (after Q1? The call is May 3, so Q1 ended March 31. The rate case approval was in mid-April, so after Q1. But the transcript says "in mid-April, AES Indiana achieved a critical milestone with the approval of its rate case" - that's after the quarter. So not in the just-reported period. What about the Hoosier wind acquisition? Closed in late February, so in Q1. That's a 106 MW wind project.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-23 | B+ |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-06 | B+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-24 | B+ |
| FRPH | FRP Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-07 | C+ |
| ZLAB | Zai Lab Limited | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-28 | C |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | C |
| TBLA | Taboola.com Ltd. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B+ |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | F |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-09 | C+ |
| LUCD | Lucid Diagnostics Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-16 | C+ |
| CEIX | CONSOL Energy Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-07 | B |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-31 | C+ |
| SOL | ReneSola Ltd | Q3 2022 | 2022-12-01 | C+ |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| CDMO | Avid Bioservices, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-03-08 | B+ |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-26 | A |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-20 | B+ |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | C |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-09-13 | B+ |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | B+ |
| SATS | EchoStar Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | C+ |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-02 | C+ |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-08 | A |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-10 | B |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-03 | C+ |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Company | Q3 2016 | 2016-05-05 | D |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | F |
| DD | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-26 | B+ |
CDMO · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: NO The transcript describes the first phase of the Myford expansion as now operational and scheduling client projects, with management noting they are already utilizing the new space and that an extra $5 million is arguably in backlog attributable to it.
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: YES The transcript identifies the new-campus expansion strategy as the engine. East Point opened in Q1 with 29 starts and $90k revenue (first tranche, concrete and delivered).
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes one identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: a first tranche has actually landed in the just-reported period, and larger tranches...