First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route: the same engine that just produced has visibly more already scheduled
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2016 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes one identifiable engine of new business with both: (1) a first tranche actually landed in the just-reported period (Q2 2016), and (2) larger tranches already in motion behind it, with the remainder larger than what's been recognized. Look for specific projects, programs, etc. The transcript mentions several: Piedmont acquisition (pending, not yet closed), Latin America sale (not new business), coal ash (cost recovery), solar projects, grid modernization, pipelines (Atlantic Coast, Sabal Trail), etc. Check for a specific engine where a first tranche landed and larger tranches are underway. - Solar projects: In May, NCUC approved two new solar projects totaling 65 MW in Duke Energy Carolinas, expected online Q1 2017. That's not yet delivered. Also Indiana solar plant approved, but not yet operational. So no landed tranche. - Grid modernization: Indiana approved $1.4 billion plan, but that's a plan, not delivered. Kentucky filed for smart meters, South Carolina accounting order. No landed tranche. - Pipelines: Atlantic Coast Pipeline not yet approved, Sabal Trail approved but construction to begin late summer, not yet operational. No landed tranche. - Commercial renewables: Los Vientos IV wind project achieved commercial operation in July (that's after Q2? The call is August 4, 2016, so July is in Q3? Actually Q2 ended June 30, so July is Q3. But they say "achieved commercial operation in July, a month ahead of schedule." That is a landed tranche, but it's in July, not the just-reported period (Q2). The question says "in the just-reported period" - that would be Q2 2016. So July is not in Q2. However, they might consider it recent? The instruction says "in the just-reported period" - that is the quarter being reported. So July is not in Q2. So that doesn't count. - Also Frontier wind project remains on target to begin serving customers later this year. That's not yet delivered. - The NCEMPA acquisition? That was in prior year. - The Osprey generating facility acquisition in Florida? They filed petitions to recover costs, but acquisition expected to be completed in early 2017. Not yet. - The securitization of Crystal River 3? That's a financing, not new business. - The Lee natural gas combined cycle plant in South Carolina? Construction progressing, in-service November 2017. Not yet.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-23 | B+ |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-06 | B+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-24 | B+ |
| FRPH | FRP Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-07 | C+ |
| ZLAB | Zai Lab Limited | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-28 | C |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | C |
| TBLA | Taboola.com Ltd. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B+ |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | F |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-09 | C+ |
| LUCD | Lucid Diagnostics Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-16 | C+ |
| CEIX | CONSOL Energy Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-07 | B |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-31 | C+ |
| SOL | ReneSola Ltd | Q3 2022 | 2022-12-01 | C+ |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| CDMO | Avid Bioservices, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-03-08 | B+ |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-26 | A |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-20 | B+ |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | C |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-09-13 | B+ |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | B+ |
| SATS | EchoStar Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | C+ |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-02 | C+ |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-08 | A |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-10 | B |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-03 | C+ |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Company | Q3 2016 | 2016-05-05 | D |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | F |
| DD | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-26 | B+ |
CDMO · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: NO The transcript describes the first phase of the Myford expansion as now operational and scheduling client projects, with management noting they are already utilizing the new space and that an extra $5 million is arguably in backlog attributable to it.
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: YES The transcript identifies the new-campus expansion strategy as the engine. East Point opened in Q1 with 29 starts and $90k revenue (first tranche, concrete and delivered).
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes one identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: a first tranche has actually landed in the just-reported period, and larger tranches...