First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route: the same engine that just produced has visibly more already scheduled
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business with both: (1) a first tranche actually landed in the reported period, and (2) larger tranches already in motion behind it, with the remainder larger than what's been recognized. The engine must be specific and management must affirm both parts. Let's review the transcript. The call is Q1 2017. Management discusses various programs. Key points: - Ingalls: keel for DDG 121, NSC 8, christened NSC 7, LHA 7 launched. They mention LPD 29 funding, NSC 10 long lead material. But these are contracts awarded? They received $600 million in new contract awards, backlog $20B. But are these "first tranche landed" with larger tranches in motion? For example, LPD 29 is a new ship, but it's just funded, not yet delivered. The first tranche would be the ship itself, but it's not delivered yet. They talk about risk retirements, but that's not new business engine. - Newport News: CVN-78 conducted Builder trials, SSN-787 Washington, SSN-789 christening, CVN-72 refueling. These are existing programs, not new engines. - Technical Solutions: Westinghouse reserve, but that's a problem. The question asks for an engine of new business. Possibly the acquisition of Camber? That contributed $80 million in revenues. But is that a first tranche? Camber is an acquisition, not a program with larger tranches. Management doesn't describe a continuation. Another possibility: The Navy's plan to increase fleet size, but that's future. Management talks about needing to see 2018 budget. No concrete first tranche landed. Maybe the LPD 29? But that's a single ship, not a multi-unit order with larger tranches. They mention LPD 28, 29, and LXR as a bridge. But LPD 29 is just funded, not delivered. The first tranche would be the ship itself, but it's not yet built. Management says "we received $600 million in new contract awards" but that's general. The question requires that the first tranche has actually landed in the reported period - meaning delivered, shipped, completed, opened, billed, or recognized. For example, a contract award might be recognized as revenue? But they talk about risk retirements, which are revenue recognitions. But that's not a new engine. Let's look for specific language. Management mentions "we hosted President Trump... encouraged by commitment to 12-carrier fleet." That's future.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-23 | B+ |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-06 | B+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-24 | B+ |
| FRPH | FRP Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-07 | C+ |
| ZLAB | Zai Lab Limited | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-28 | C |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | C |
| TBLA | Taboola.com Ltd. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B+ |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | F |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-09 | C+ |
| LUCD | Lucid Diagnostics Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-16 | C+ |
| CEIX | CONSOL Energy Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-07 | B |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-31 | C+ |
| SOL | ReneSola Ltd | Q3 2022 | 2022-12-01 | C+ |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| CDMO | Avid Bioservices, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-03-08 | B+ |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-26 | A |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-20 | B+ |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | C |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-09-13 | B+ |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | B+ |
| SATS | EchoStar Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | C+ |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-02 | C+ |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-08 | A |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-10 | B |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-03 | C+ |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Company | Q3 2016 | 2016-05-05 | D |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | F |
| DD | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-26 | B+ |
CDMO · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: NO The transcript describes the first phase of the Myford expansion as now operational and scheduling client projects, with management noting they are already utilizing the new space and that an extra $5 million is arguably in backlog attributable to it.
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: YES The transcript identifies the new-campus expansion strategy as the engine. East Point opened in Q1 with 29 starts and $90k revenue (first tranche, concrete and delivered).
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes one identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: a first tranche has actually landed in the just-reported period, and larger tranches...