First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route: the same engine that just produced has visibly more already scheduled
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2016 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes one identifiable engine of new business with both: (1) a first tranche actually landed in the reported quarter (Q2 2016), and (2) larger tranches already in motion behind it, with the remainder larger than what's been delivered. Let's scan the transcript for any such description. Management discusses various projects: Don Campbell 2, Olkaria III, Bouillante acquisition, Platanares, Tungsten, Dixie Meadows, Menengai, Sarulla, product segment contracts (Eastland Group in New Zealand), Turkey contracts, etc. Key points: - Electricity segment growth due to new expansions (Don Campbell phase 2, Olkaria III plant 4) - these are already online, so that's delivered. But are there larger tranches in motion? For Don Campbell, they are monetizing via joint venture with Northleaf, but that's not new business. For Olkaria, they have expansions? Not clear. - Bouillante acquisition: completed July 5, 2016 (after quarter end? Actually Q2 ended June 30, so July 5 is Q3, but they mention it as completed. They say "we completed the acquisition" - but it's after quarter end. However, they describe it as immediately accretive, with expansion potential to 24 MW and further 20 MW. But is that a first tranche? The acquisition itself is the first tranche, and they plan modifications and further development. But is that "larger tranches already in motion"? They say "We have plain modifications to the existing equipment as well as to further develop the asset, with a potential of reaching a total of 45 megawatts in phase development by 2021." That's a plan, not yet committed. So not clearly in motion. - Product segment: They mention a contract with Eastland Group for a geothermal project in New Zealand, secured in May (Q2). That's a contract, but is it a first tranche? They say "we added 36 million EPC and supply contract" - that's a single contract. Are there larger tranches? They mention Turkey contracts in final negotiation stages, but not yet signed. So no. - Sarulla: They have phases. First phase expected to commence towards end of 2016, second and third phases scheduled within 18 months. But is the first phase already delivered? No, it's not yet operational. So no landed tranche. - Tungsten and Dixie: under construction, not yet operational. - Platanares: under construction, not yet operational.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-23 | B+ |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-06 | B+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-24 | B+ |
| FRPH | FRP Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-07 | C+ |
| ZLAB | Zai Lab Limited | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-28 | C |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | C |
| TBLA | Taboola.com Ltd. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B+ |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | F |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-09 | C+ |
| LUCD | Lucid Diagnostics Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-16 | C+ |
| CEIX | CONSOL Energy Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-07 | B |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-31 | C+ |
| SOL | ReneSola Ltd | Q3 2022 | 2022-12-01 | C+ |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| CDMO | Avid Bioservices, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-03-08 | B+ |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-26 | A |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-20 | B+ |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | C |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-09-13 | B+ |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | B+ |
| SATS | EchoStar Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | C+ |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-02 | C+ |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-08 | A |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-10 | B |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-03 | C+ |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Company | Q3 2016 | 2016-05-05 | D |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | F |
| DD | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-26 | B+ |
CDMO · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: NO The transcript describes the first phase of the Myford expansion as now operational and scheduling client projects, with management noting they are already utilizing the new space and that an extra $5 million is arguably in backlog attributable to it.
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: YES The transcript identifies the new-campus expansion strategy as the engine. East Point opened in Q1 with 29 starts and $90k revenue (first tranche, concrete and delivered).
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes one identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: a first tranche has actually landed in the just-reported period, and larger tranches...