First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route: the same engine that just produced has visibly more already scheduled
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2017 call → NOWe need answer only YES or NO. Need analyze transcript for identifiable engine of new business with both first tranche landed and larger tranches in motion, same engine, remainder larger, management affirms. Need be strict. Let's parse transcript. Management discusses many things: international growth, DTC, HOVR launch, Curry 4, Patriot footwear, ERP, restructuring, etc. Need find one engine where first concrete portion delivered in just-reported period (Q3 2017) and larger portions already committed/scheduled/underway, remainder larger. Potential candidates: - HOVR cushioning platform launching spring 2018. Not yet delivered in Q3? It's future launch. No first tranche landed. No. - Curry 4 launched earlier this month (October 2017) after Q3? Q3 ended Sept 30, call Oct 31. "launched the Curry 4 Basketball shoe earlier this month, first in China and then around the world" That's after quarter? It's in current Q4? But call is Q3 earnings, so just-reported period is Q3. Curry 4 launched in October, not in Q3. Also continuation? They mention Curry 4, 5 and 6 upcoming? Actually "applied that going forward in the Curry 4, the 5 and 6 upcoming 2." Hmm. But first tranche not in just-reported period? It's after quarter. Also not necessarily larger tranches? No. - Patriot footwear limited release in November. Future. No. - International business growth: Q3 international revenue up 35%, strong. Is that an engine? Management says international continues to exceed expectations, expect continued strength. But is there a specific engine with first tranche landed and larger tranches already in motion? International is broad, not specific. Also continuation is expected, not necessarily committed. No. - ERP system implementation: launched July 1, caused disruption. Not new business engine. - Connected Fitness: 220 million users, but not revenue engine? They mention goodwill impairment, deemphasizing ancillary revenue. No. - New distribution in North America exceeding expectations, but not enough to offset. Is that an engine? "new North American distribution is exceeding our original expectations" but no specifics. Not enough. - Restructuring plan savings? No. - Category management? No. - "UA Charge Patriot footwear" first footwear from Lighthouse center, limited release in November. Future.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-23 | B+ |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-06 | B+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-24 | B+ |
| FRPH | FRP Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-07 | C+ |
| ZLAB | Zai Lab Limited | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-28 | C |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | C |
| TBLA | Taboola.com Ltd. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B+ |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | F |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-09 | C+ |
| LUCD | Lucid Diagnostics Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-16 | C+ |
| CEIX | CONSOL Energy Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-07 | B |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-31 | C+ |
| SOL | ReneSola Ltd | Q3 2022 | 2022-12-01 | C+ |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| CDMO | Avid Bioservices, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-03-08 | B+ |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-26 | A |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-20 | B+ |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | C |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-09-13 | B+ |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | B+ |
| SATS | EchoStar Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | C+ |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-02 | C+ |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-08 | A |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-10 | B |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-03 | C+ |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Company | Q3 2016 | 2016-05-05 | D |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | F |
| DD | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-26 | B+ |
CDMO · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: NO The transcript describes the first phase of the Myford expansion as now operational and scheduling client projects, with management noting they are already utilizing the new space and that an extra $5 million is arguably in backlog attributable to it.
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: YES The transcript identifies the new-campus expansion strategy as the engine. East Point opened in Q1 with 29 starts and $90k revenue (first tranche, concrete and delivered).
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes one identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: a first tranche has actually landed in the just-reported period, and larger tranches...