Question Bank › Identified near-term contributors not yet in the

Identified near-term contributors not yet in the reported numbers

Calls Tested
992
Answered YES
426
Hit Rate
42.9%
rare by design

MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) — this company's answers

NO on the Q3 2017 call 2017-10-25 C+
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2017 call → NO我们根据要求,只使用提供的财报电话会议记录。问题:管理层是否指出了具体的、已确定的额外业务来源,这些业务已经锁定或已经在进行中,但对刚刚报告的结果贡献很少或没有贡献,并表明它们的贡献预计在大约接下来的一年内开始或增加,因此报告的数字低估了公司已经落实的业务? 在记录中,管理层提到了几个新举措: - MiFID II准备:他们已获批准为APA和ARM,报告业务应受益。但这是监管变化,不是具体客户或合同。 - 新加坡RMO批准:新交易平台,但未明确贡献时间。 - 开放式交易增长:但已反映在当前结果中。 - 新垃圾债费用计划:已有10个经销商参与,每月150万美元费用,但第四季度将增加150万美元 vs 第三季度,这是具体的。 - 他们认为MiFID II将推动需求,但这是机会不是已锁定业务。 管理层明确提到MiFID II报告收入将在明年1月开始增加,以及分销费用第四季度将高150万美元。但这是费用收入,不是额外业务量。还有新收购/扩张?没有提及并购。 问题要求“已经锁定或已经在进行中”的额外业务,并且“贡献很少或没有”但“预计在接下来几个季度开始或增加”。MiFID II报告收入是即将开始的,但管理层说“预期”,不是已签约。分销费用是已实施的,但第三季度只有部分,第四季度将增加,但这是短期的,且是费用结构变化,不是新业务来源。 关键是管理层是否指出了具体的、已确定的增加来源。在记录中,Rick提到“国际客户数量增长”,但那是过去。Tony提到高收益分销费用第四季度将高150万美元,但那是已实施的计划。还有MiFID II报告服务已获批准,但收入尚未开始,是具体且已批准的。管理层说“我们预计报告收入将在明年一月开始增加”。这算已锁定吗?批准是获得的,但客户使用是预期。 问题要求“已经锁定或已经在进行中”,MiFID II获批是进行中,但贡献未发生。可能符合。但需确认是否“meaningfully add” - 管理层没有量化报告收入,只说增长。 另外,新加坡RMO是新平台,但未明确贡献。 我认为最符合的是MiFID II报告和交易收入,已批准,将于明年生效,贡献将开始。管理层明确说“我们预计报告收入将在明年一月开始增加”。这属于正在进行的监管变化带来的业务,但未被具体客户或合同锁定,是监管推动的预期。 但问题强调“已锁定或已经在进行中”而不是机会。监管批准是已获得的,所以是已在进行中。但贡献是预期的。 另外,高收益分销费用是已实施的,但第三季度只有部分,第四季度将增加,但那是费用,不是业务量。 综合看,管理层指出了具体项目(MiFID II批准、新加坡RMO、新费用计划),但大部分是机会性。记录中是否有明确说“这些贡献将增加”?有,但描述为预期。 严格按规则:如果这些是“已经锁定或已经在进行中”且“贡献很少或没有”并“预计开始或增加”,那MiFID II似符合。但管理层未给出具体数字,且是监管驱动的,可能算机会。 再读问题:需要“具体、已确定的来源”即真实存在的,如新设施、签约合同等。MiFID II批准是具体事件,但客户业务是期望。没有提已签约合同。 在记录中,没有提到新客户或已签合同。只有分销费用计划已有10个经销商,这是已实行的。 因此,我认为回答NO,因为管理层没有指出具体的已锁定业务来源,只有监管变化和费用调整,属于一般机会。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just reported — and indicate that their contribution is expected to BEGIN OR RAMP WITHIN ROUGHLY THE NEXT YEAR, so that the reported numbers understate the business the company has already put in place? Answer YES when management, in its own words, identifies one or more concrete, near-dated incremental contributors — in whatever form fits the business — such as: a new facility, capacity, store base, fleet, or asset that is built or being commissioned and starts producing soon; a signed contract, program, or partnership whose deliveries or volumes are only now starting; a newly won customer or group of customers whose spending has only begun to phase in; a product, service, or market launch that has just gone live or is imminent after being secured or approved; or an acquisition or expansion that closed too recently to show in the period — AND management conveys that these identified contributors will add meaningfully to the company's results as they come online over the coming quarters. The contributors must be described as real and specific (nameable things that exist or are committed), not as pipeline, opportunity, or hoped-for demand; and the timing must be near-term (beginning or ramping over the next few quarters), not a distant or undated future. Answer NO if the forward story is generic optimism, market opportunity, or pipeline talk without identified contributors already secured or in motion; NO if the identified items are already fully reflected in the reported results with no meaningful ramp still ahead; NO if the contributors are contingent on approvals, financing, negotiations, or decisions not yet obtained; NO if the expected contribution is described as immaterial, offsetting declines elsewhere, or merely returning the business to where it was; and NO if the idea appears only in an analyst's question or model that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
FRBA First Bank Q2 2024 2024-07-26 A
TPH Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. Q2 2024 2024-07-25 A
MMLP Martin Midstream Partners L.P. Q2 2024 2024-07-18 B
ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-06-11 C+
BBY Best Buy Co., Inc. Q1 2025 2024-05-30 C
CRGO Freightos Limited Q1 2024 2024-05-20 C+
BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. Q3 2024 2024-05-14 C+
ERO Ero Copper Corp. Q1 2024 2024-05-10 A
WRBY Warby Parker Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-09 A
AZEK The AZEK Company Inc. Q2 2024 2024-05-08 B+
SNCR Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-07 C+
TALO Talos Energy Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-07 B+
LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-06 B+
PACK Ranpak Holdings Corp. Q1 2024 2024-05-04 B
AES The AES Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 C+
PPC Pilgrim's Pride Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 A
TRP TC Energy Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 B
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-02 B+
WEC WEC Energy Group, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-01 A
ROCK Gibraltar Industries, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-01 B+
LTRX Lantronix, Inc. Q3 2024 2024-04-29 C
TS Tenaris S.A. Q1 2024 2024-04-26 C
ASB Associated Banc-Corp Q1 2024 2024-04-25 A
LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-04-25 B
E Eni S.p.A. Q1 2024 2024-04-24 B+
TFIN Triumph Financial, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-04-18 D
DUOT Duos Technologies Group, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-04-01 F
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-03-21 C+
KOPN Kopin Corporation Q4 2023 2024-03-14 C+
GIII G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. Q4 2024 2024-03-14 C
HSAI Hesai Group Q4 2023 2024-03-12 D
PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras Q4 2023 2024-03-08 D
FRPH FRP Holdings, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-03-07 C+
PSFE Paysafe Limited Q4 2023 2024-03-07 C+
GTLB GitLab Inc. Q4 2024 2024-03-04 C+
ZLAB Zai Lab Limited Q4 2023 2024-02-28 C
MNKD MannKind Corporation Q4 2023 2024-02-27 C
NICE NICE Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-02-22 B+
PUMP ProPetro Holding Corp. Q4 2023 2024-02-21 C+
DXCM DexCom, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-08 B+
RAMP LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. Q3 2024 2024-02-08 B+
INTR Inter & Co, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-08 B+
SPH Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. Q1 2024 2024-02-08 B
HP Helmerich & Payne, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-01-30 C
PFE Pfizer Inc. Q4 2023 2024-01-30 F
EMKR EMCORE Corporation Q4 2023 2023-12-12 C+
CSPI CSP Inc. Q4 2023 2023-12-12 D
LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. Q3 2023 2023-12-07 B+
GEF Greif, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-12-07 C
BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-11-21 B+
SONO Sonos, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-15 C+
AWH Aspira Women's Health Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-13 D
AIRG Airgain, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 F
EFXT Enerflex Ltd. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 C+
SWKH SWK Holdings Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-09 B
LGO Largo Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 D
SCPH scPharmaceuticals Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B
TBLA Taboola.com Ltd. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B+
BMBL Bumble Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-07 F
QTRX Quanterix Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-07 B
ENOV Enovis Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-07 A
GMED Globus Medical, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-07 B
GOLD Barrick Gold Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-02 C
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated Q3 2023 2023-11-02 F
LANC Lancaster Colony Corporation Q1 2024 2023-11-02 B
OPAD Offerpad Solutions Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 C
RVLV Revolve Group, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 C
TEL TE Connectivity Ltd. Q4 2023 2023-11-01 B
WEAV Weave Communications, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 B+
MTCH Match Group, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 B
MAC The Macerich Company Q3 2023 2023-10-31 D
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Q2 2024 2023-10-05 B+
MYTE MYT Netherlands Parent B.V. Q4 2023 2023-09-14 B
CTLP Cantaloupe, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-09-06 B+
OXM Oxford Industries, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-31 C
BZUN Baozun Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-28 D
DXLG Destination XL Group, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-24 D
KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited Q2 2023 2023-08-22 C
PINC Premier, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-08-22 F
CSAN Cosan S.A. Q2 2023 2023-08-15 D
NU Nu Holdings Ltd. Q2 2023 2023-08-15 B
PNNT PennantPark Investment Corporation Q3 2023 2023-08-10 B+
ZOM Zomedica Corp. Q2 2023 2023-08-10 C
LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-09 D
CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp. Q2 2023 2023-08-09 C+
APPS Digital Turbine, Inc. Q1 2024 2023-08-08 D
AKYA Akoya Biosciences, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-07 C+
PTLO Portillo's Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-05 B
SPT Sprout Social, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-04 B+
FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-03 B+
PBI Pitney Bowes Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-03 F
ET Energy Transfer LP Q2 2023 2023-08-02 C+
CTO CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-07-28 B
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Q2 2023 2023-07-28 B+
IMAX IMAX Corporation Q2 2023 2023-07-26 B+
NWE NorthWestern Corporation Q2 2023 2023-07-26 D
ZDGE Zedge, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-06-12 D
LUCD Lucid Diagnostics Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-16 C+
VLN Valens Semiconductor Ltd. Q1 2023 2023-05-13 C
SLF Sun Life Financial Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-12 B
ICD Independence Contract Drilling, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-12 B+
GGR Gogoro Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-11 D
CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-11 C+
SU Suncor Energy Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-09 C+
TSN Tyson Foods, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-05-08 D
CARS Cars.com Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-06 B
KE Kimball Electronics, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-05-06 C+
KNTK Kinetik Holdings Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-06 B+
AKR Acadia Realty Trust Q4 2022 2023-05-06 B+
INGN Inogen, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-05 F
FIGS FIGS, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-05 B+
CYRX Cryoport, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-05 C
BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-02 A
CADE Cadence Bank Q1 2023 2023-04-25 C+
ALIM Alimera Sciences, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-31 C+
TACT TransAct Technologies Incorporated Q4 2022 2023-03-08 A
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-07 B
NCSM NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-07 A
M Macy's, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-02 D
NEWT Newtek Business Services' Q4 2022 2023-02-28 D
VRE Veris Residential, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-22 D
OEC Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. Q4 2022 2023-02-17 B+
BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-16 A
DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-16 C+
ESEA Euroseas Ltd. Q4 2022 2023-02-15 C+
CIM Chimera Investment Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-15 D
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-14 C+
HIW Highwoods Properties, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-08 B
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust Q4 2022 2023-02-08 B+
CEIX CONSOL Energy Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-07 B
CLFD Clearfield, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-02-02 C+
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-31 C+
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Q4 2022 2023-01-26 C+
ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-24 C
UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-18 B
SOL ReneSola Ltd Q3 2022 2022-12-01 C+
A Agilent Technologies, Inc. Q4 2022 2022-11-21 B+
CIG Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais Q3 2022 2022-11-16 C+
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. Q3 2022 2022-11-13 B
BLZE Backblaze, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-11 D
FET Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-09 B
SIBN SI-BONE, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-07 C+
FLL Full House Resorts, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-07 B
HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company Q3 2022 2022-11-05 C
MEC Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-05 B+
GOOS Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Q2 2023 2022-11-02 D
SYY Sysco Corporation Q1 2023 2022-11-01 C+
AWRE Aware, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-10-30 F
FSLR First Solar, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-10-28 C+
VSEC VSE Corporation Q3 2022 2022-10-28 B+
UMBF UMB Financial Corporation Q3 2022 2022-10-26 C+
WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. Q4 2022 2022-10-13 C
APOG Apogee Enterprises, Inc. Q2 2023 2022-09-20 A
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Q1 2023 2022-09-08 C+
CURV Torrid Holdings Inc. Q2 2022 2022-09-07 D
YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Q2 2022 2022-08-25 C+
TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-13 B+
EXFY Expensify, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-12 D
RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-08-10 A
EVGO EVgo, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-09 C+
UUUU Energy Fuels Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-09 C
BGSF BGSF, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-07 B+
BBSI Barrett Business Services, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-06 A
TWO Two Harbors Investment Corp. Q2 2022 2022-08-04 C+
COLD Americold Realty Trust, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-04 D
HLNE Hamilton Lane Incorporated Q1 2023 2022-08-02 C+
DVN Devon Energy Corporation Q2 2022 2022-08-02 B+
ZBRA Zebra Technologies Corporation Q2 2022 2022-08-02 C+
CRK Comstock Resources, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-02 B+
SYM Symbotic Inc. Q3 2022 2022-08-01 B+
CIVB Civista Bancshares, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-31 B
PRG PROG Holdings, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-30 D
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-27 B
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company Q2 2022 2022-07-27 D
OGI OrganiGram Holdings Inc. Q3 2022 2022-07-14 B+
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-05-15 A
FLYW Flywire Corporation Q1 2022 2022-05-14 B+
DCGO DocGo Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-14 C
UGRO urban-gro, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-13 D
ZVIA Zevia PBC Q1 2022 2022-05-12 B
VNRX VolitionRx Limited Q1 2022 2022-05-12 F
XMTR Xometry, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-11 B+
OPK OPKO Health, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-09 D
NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-08 A
CAH Cardinal Health, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-05-05 F
MGNI Magnite, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-04 D
KAR KAR Auction Services, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-04 C+
BXP Boston Properties, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 A
FLGT Fulgent Genetics, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 B
ABNB Airbnb, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 B+
SILC Silicom Ltd. Q1 2022 2022-04-30 B+
STC Stewart Information Services Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-29 C+
ADSE ADS-TEC Energy PLC Q4 2021 2022-04-28 D
BSX Boston Scientific Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-27 B
RGEN Repligen Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-27 C+
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-04-26 C+
FLXS Flexsteel Industries, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-04-26 B
FR First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-04-21 A
WOR Worthington Industries, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-03-23 B
FAT FAT Brands Inc. Q4 2021 2022-03-21 F

How the model reasoned

DV · Q3 2021 → YESThe question is: Does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just r...NO The OpenSlate acquisition is described as not yet closed, so it is contingent on a future event (closing) and management explicitly states it will not have a material impact on 2021 results. The TikTok partnership is presented as a recent launch that has already begun contributing to coverage, not as a future 2022 ramp. The new Q3 logo wins are noted as positioning for growth into 2022, but they are not tied to any specific, named contributors with quantified near-term ramps; they are framed as general enterprise momentum rather than concrete, identifiable sources already in motion. Meetrics is called out as immaterial.
GMED · Q3 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just r...YES The transcript shows management identifying specific, already-secured contributors: the NuVasive merger (closed September 1, only one month in Q3), cross-selling of existing portfolios (investments made earlier this year, poised to begin as early as next quarter), and a record year of product launches (nine products 2024, more by year-end, including E-hub Navigation and expansions to expandable portfolio). These are described as real, nameable items already in motion or recently closed, with meaningful ramps expected in the coming quarters, so the reported results understate the business in place.
LKQ · Q4 2016 → YESThe question is: Does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just r...NO The T2 project qualifies as a specific, in-motion contributor with near-term ramp (deliveries Q3 2017, full live Q1 2018), but the transcript does not tie it explicitly to “additional business” or “incremental revenue” beyond the project’s own costs and accretion. The 2017 incremental costs are noted, yet the forward impact is framed as project-specific rather than a broad source of new secured business. Andrew Page remains contingent on CMA approval, and other items (new branches, Mekonomen) are either already contributing or not framed as additional secured sources.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.