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Position doing the winning

Position doing the winning: current wins credited to a standing already held, with more arriving over it

Calls Tested
440
Answered YES
19
Hit Rate
4.3%
rare by design

Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR) — this company's answers

NO on the Q1 2024 call 2023-08-02 D
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2024 call → NO我们根据提供的财报电话会议记录来判断。管理层是否将当前赢得的业务归因于公司已经持有的地位(standing),并且是否表明更多业务正在通过该地位持续到来。 在电话会议中,管理层多次提到日本相关业务强劲,特别是零售业务。例如,零售业务收入增长22%,管理层提到“自2019年以来,零售业务一直在改革其渠道……在3月完成了重组”,并提到“在优化组织结构下,我们提供了详细的咨询服务,导致所有产品和服务的销售更强劲,收入更高”。这里,重组是最近完成的,但重组本身是内部努力,不是“已经持有的地位”。然而,管理层也提到“我们看到了去年努力推广日本股票投资吸引力的成果,以及从5月开始的市场反弹的顺风”,这似乎将成功归因于市场条件和过去的努力。 关于“standing”,管理层提到“我们的日本相关业务表现强劲”,但具体到零售,他们提到“我们看到了去年努力推广日本股票投资吸引力的成果”,这更像是过去的努力,而不是已经持有的地位。此外,管理层提到“我们的零售业务在7月保持稳健,表现高于第一季度的月平均水平”,但这是当前表现,没有明确说是因为已经持有的地位。 在批发业务方面,管理层提到“国际业务开局缓慢,但日本的固定收益和股票表现良好”,并提到“我们正在与客户进行非常活跃的对话”,这更像是当前的努力。 关于“standing”的具体例子,比如“我们的JGB市场份额很高”,但管理层没有明确说当前赢得的业务是因为这个份额,而是说“我们将谨慎管理风险,但商业机会我认为将对我们有利”,这更像是预期。 在投资管理方面,管理层提到“资产管理业务继续提供稳定的收入和我们的飞机租赁业务表现良好”,但也没有明确说是因为已经持有的地位。 关键点:管理层是否明确将当前赢得的业务归因于公司已经持有的、先于本期的地位?例如,客户因为公司已经占据的位置而选择公司,而不是因为新的销售推动。在电话会议中,管理层提到“我们看到了去年努力推广日本股票投资吸引力的成果”,这暗示是过去的努力,但“努力”不是“standing”。此外,管理层提到“我们的零售业务在7月保持稳健”,但没有说是因为已经建立的客户关系或网络。 在回答中,管理层提到“我们正在与客户进行非常活跃的对话”,这更像是当前的努力。 因此,没有明确的管理层陈述表明当前赢得的业务是因为公司已经持有的地位(如已建立的客户关系、已获得批准、已占据的市场位置等)而自动到来的。相反,他们提到了市场顺风、过去的努力和当前的活动。 此外,关于“更多业务正在通过同一地位到来”,管理层提到“我们相信JGB和日本股票市场的势头将继续”,但这是预期,不是已经发生的。 因此,答案应为NO。 最终答案:NO

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, when management explains why the company is CURRENTLY winning business, does it credit a STANDING THE COMPANY ALREADY HOLDS \u2014 something durable it built, secured, or became BEFORE this period \u2014 as the operative cause of wins that are actually happening now, AND does it convey that further business is already arriving over that same standing without a proportional new push?\n\nAnswer YES when management's own words convey, in whatever form fits the business, ONE coherent causal story with both halves present as a present-tense reality:\n\n(1) AN ALREADY-HELD STANDING IS DOING THE WINNING. Management identifies something the company already possesses \u2014 in whatever form fits the industry, such as a capability or capacity already in place, an installed base or existing customer relationships, an approval, qualification, certification, or listing already earned, a footprint, network, or distribution reach already built, a technology, product position, or reputation already established, or a role in customers' operations already occupied \u2014 and explains CURRENT wins (real orders, customers, contracts, volumes, or work in the recent period) as flowing FROM that standing: customers choose, return to, or route business to the company because of where it already sits, not because of a fresh sales push, discounting, or one-off effort. The wins must be described as actually happening now, and the standing must predate them \u2014 the cause was in place before the effect arrived.\n\n(2) MORE IS ARRIVING OVER THE SAME STANDING. Management conveys that additional business of the same kind is already forming or flowing through that same standing \u2014 further orders, customers, or commitments arriving, the position being drawn on more heavily, or continuation already visible in current activity \u2014 such that growth from here rides on the position the company already holds rather than requiring the company to win each new piece from scratch. The continuation must be grounded in things already occurring or already committed, not in market size, pipeline hopes, or projections.\n\nThe essence is ONE phenomenon: the company's position, not its effort, is now generating its business \u2014 and the position has room left. The industry, the form of the standing, and the form of the wins may vary widely.\n\nAnswer NO if management attributes current wins mainly to effort-based causes \u2014 stronger selling, marketing, pricing actions, promotions, hustle, or generic 'execution' \u2014 or to outside conditions such as market demand, industry tailwinds, or a competitor's stumble. NO if the claimed standing is generic self-praise ('our great team,' 'our strong brand,' 'our leadership position') without management explaining what is actually held and how it is producing current wins. NO if the standing is still being built, pending approval, or aspirational rather than already in place before the current period. NO if the wins credited to it are hoped for, in pipeline, or not yet real. NO if there is no continuation \u2014 the position produced one deal or one quarter with nothing further described as arriving over it. NO if the standing is described as eroding, fully monetized, or at risk rather than carrying more business ahead. NO if the causal story appears only in an analyst's question or characterization that management does not itself affirm.\n\nUse only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
NICE NICE Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-02-22 B+
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-02-15 B+
CHT Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-01-30 C
IMAX IMAX Corporation Q2 2023 2023-07-26 B+
SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-10 B
FTHM Fathom Holdings, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-10 C
BXSL Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Q1 2023 2023-05-10 A
POOL Pool Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-16 C+
EXFY Expensify, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-12 D
HLIO Helios Technologies, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-10 C
BXP Boston Properties, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 A
GFS GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. Q3 2021 2021-11-30 A
WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. Q3 2021 2021-11-02 B
PRIM Primoris Services Corporation Q2 2018 2018-08-11 C+
ORAN Orange SA Q2 2018 2018-07-26 B
ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc. Q4 2017 2017-11-08 C
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. Q3 2017 2017-10-25 C+
LEA Lear Corporation Q2 2017 2017-07-26 B+
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. Q4 2015 2016-02-25 C

How the model reasoned

EXFY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management credits a standing the company already holds as the reason they're currently winning business, and that more is arriving over that same standing without a new ...YES The transcript shows management crediting their pre-existing bottom-up adoption model and differentiated platform position (already in place since day one, with SMB focus and unique acquisition mechanics) as the operative cause of current wins. This is evident in statements like the model being "overwhelmingly driving the success of our business" and competitors routing customers to them due to the same standing. Further business is conveyed as already arriving through the same position, with trends continuing and the best quarter ever achieved on that foundation, even as they note additional investments in sales and conferences.
FTHM · Q1 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management credits a standing the company already holds as the reason they're currently winning business, and if more business is arriving over that same standing without...YES The transcript shows management crediting the company's pre-existing low-cost flat-fee model, owned technology, and culture-driven retention as the durable standing already in place that is generating current wins (market share gains, 18% agent growth, 60% of March referrals, and transaction resilience vs. peers). They describe these as flowing directly from that standing rather than fresh effort, while conveying continuation through the referral program's ongoing positive impact and the model's ability to draw more agents without proportional new marketing push.
ORAN · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management credits a standing the company already holds as the reason they're currently winning business, and that more is arriving over that same standing without a new ...YES The transcript shows management repeatedly tying current wins (net adds, ARPU growth, EBITDA expansion) directly to a pre-existing durable position: the #1 convergent operator status already achieved through prior leadership in fixed/mobile networks and fiber rollout, plus the installed base of 10.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.