Quietly replacing the old way: customers are switching to the company from an entrenched alternative, and the switching
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2021 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes customers switching to the company from an entrenched alternative, and that this switching is still early with most potential switchers not yet converted. Let's analyze the transcript. The company is Kyndryl, an IT services provider spun off from IBM. They talk about their new partnerships with hyperscalers (Microsoft, Google, AWS) and how they can now serve customers with multiple cloud providers. They mention that before the spin, they were constrained as a captive unit inside IBM, and now they can participate in a larger ecosystem. Key points: - They talk about expanding their total addressable market from $240B to $415B because of new opportunities in cloud, security, data, automation. - They describe a stylized example of a customer where before the spin, they had declining revenue, but now with new capabilities, they can increase revenue. - They mention that they are moving from being a captive unit to having freedom to act, and that they are now able to partner with multiple hyperscalers. But do they explicitly describe customers switching from an entrenched alternative? They talk about customers adopting multi-cloud, and they are helping them. They mention that they are now able to participate in the broader ecosystem. However, the switching is not necessarily from an incumbent supplier to Kyndryl; rather, Kyndryl is expanding its offerings. The question is about customers switching TO the company from an entrenched alternative. The company is Kyndryl, and the alternative might be other IT services providers, or perhaps the old way of doing things (e.g., on-premise, single cloud, etc.). But the transcript focuses on Kyndryl's own transformation and new partnerships, not on displacing competitors. They mention that they are winning new business, but do they say that customers are abandoning an incumbent to come to Kyndryl? They talk about "share of wallet" growth with existing customers, and new customers. But they don't explicitly say that customers are switching from a competitor. They do mention that they are now able to offer solutions they couldn't before, so customers might be switching from other providers to Kyndryl for those new services. However, the emphasis is on Kyndryl's own expansion, not on displacing an entrenched alternative.
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BLKB · Q1 2017 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON, and that this switching is still in its early ...YES Management describes customers switching from entrenched alternatives (legacy hardware systems, older Raiser's Edge versions, standalone point solutions) to Blackbaud's cloud solutions like NXT, with examples of recent replacements and migrations already occurring. They also note that much of the potential remains, as the installed base of legacy methods is still large 25% of subscription revenue, and they describe the opportunity as "really early days" with substantial distance left to run. This fits the criteria of a present-tense substitution pattern in the market, not just future hope. The high retention on their own base (93%) combined with declining maintenance revenue shows the shift is active and ongoing, while new wins against competitors and legacy alternatives are happening now. The TAM of $7 billion with hundreds of thousands of addressable customers reinforces that switching is early-stage relative to the total opportunity. The answer is YES. The question is answered with YES. The question is answered with YES.
BLZE · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON, and that this switching is still in its early ...YES The transcript shows management describing current customer switches from entrenched alternatives (AWS for urlscan.io; Synology NAS/on-prem for Fiture; broader AWS and on-prem users), with these as real, ongoing patterns. They explicitly note that much of the potential remains ("so much of the world's data is still on-premises" and "customers that are inside of AWS and others"), confirming the substitution is early-stage relative to the large installed base. This is conveyed directly in Gleb's responses as a present-tense reality, not merely anticipated. The two examples plus the broader opportunity framing establish a coherent substitution underway, with the company being substituted in. The investor question on percentages and Gleb's reply reinforce the pattern without contradicting the current movement. No single-event or future-only framing applies here. Thus, both conditions are met.
APPS · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON, and that this switching is still in its early ...YES The transcript shows management describing customers shifting from Apple/Google app stores to DT Hub and SingleTap-enabled alternative distribution as an ongoing, early-stage substitution. Bill Stone notes the company has already launched DT Hub with four U.S. operators and is generating revenue today, while highlighting "increasing pressure on the duopoly" and 5 monetization ways for SingleTap that enable publishers to direct-download apps outside traditional stores. He explicitly calls it "very early days and not yet material to our overall results" and "early innings," confirming the installed base of the old way remains large and the switch is just beginning with incremental RPD gains from devices engaging the new platform. This meets the criteria of a present-tense substitution underway, with the company positioned as the alternative being adopted.