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Recently unlocked door

Recently unlocked door: a fresh permission, approval, or qualification is already producing first real business

Calls Tested
499
Answered YES
24
Hit Rate
4.8%
rare by design

Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) — this company's answers

NO on the Q2 2016 call 2016-08-04 B
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2016 call → NO我们根据提供的财报电话会议记录来判断。问题问的是管理层是否描述公司最近获得了某项权限/批准/认证等,并且已经通过该新打开的通道开始了实际业务,且大部分潜力尚未释放。 检查记录:提到了多个监管批准、项目进展。例如: - Piedmont Natural Gas收购仍在等待NCUC批准(听证会已举行,但尚未决定),所以未完成。 - 拉丁美洲出售仍在进行中,未完成。 - 各个发电项目(Lee, Citrus County, Hines等)在建,未投产。 - 太阳能项目获得批准(如NCUC批准两个太阳能项目,预计2017年Q1上线;印第安纳Crane Naval Station太阳能项目获批,但尚未开始运营)。 - 电网现代化:印第安纳批准了1.4亿美元的智能电网计划(但那是资本计划批准,不是新准入)。 - 肯塔基请求部署智能电表,尚未获批。 - 南卡罗来纳获得会计命令允许递延智能电表成本,但那是会计处理,不是新业务准入。 - 煤灰方面有立法,但不是新业务。 - 天然气管道:Atlantic Coast Pipeline等待FERC,Sabal Trail已获FERC批准,但施工尚未开始,也未运营。 - 商业可再生能源:Los Vientos IV风电场7月投入商业运营(提前一个月),但那是已有项目完成,不是新获得的准入权。而且公司一直在运营风电场,那是继续业务。 问题要求:最近获得新的权限/批准等,且已经有实际业务开始,且大部分潜力未释放。没有任何一项提到公司获得了一个新的市场准入(比如新市场、新客户、新服务领域),并已经产生了首批收入。所有都是项目建设、收购待批、或已有业务的扩展。所以答案应为NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management describe that the company RECENTLY OBTAINED A PERMISSION, APPROVAL, QUALIFICATION, CERTIFICATION, LISTING, OR ACCESS RIGHT it did not previously hold — something granted by an outside authority, customer, partner, or institution that newly allows the company to sell, serve, or operate where it previously could not — AND that real first business through that newly opened door has ALREADY BEGUN, with most of what the access permits still ahead? Answer YES when management's own words convey, in whatever form fits the business, ONE coherent development with all three present: (1) the access is REAL AND RECENTLY IN HAND — granted, completed, or effective within roughly the last few quarters, not pending, applied-for, or expected; the form may be a regulatory approval or clearance, a customer or platform qualification, a certification or accreditation, a license, a formulary or program listing, entry onto an approved-supplier roster, or any equivalent gate that previously excluded the company; (2) FIRST BUSINESS IS ALREADY FLOWING — actual initial orders, customers, shipments, enrollments, placements, or revenue attributable to the new access, occurring now, however small; and (3) management conveys that what the access opens is LARGE RELATIVE TO WHAT HAS FLOWED SO FAR — the population, market, or activity now reachable is mostly unserved, so the reported results reflect only the first trickle through the door. Answer NO if the access is still pending, hoped for, or contingent. NO if the gate was cleared but nothing has yet transacted through it. NO if the access is routine renewal of permissions the company has long held. NO if the business through the new access is already mature and substantially reflected in results. NO if the door and its significance appear only in an analyst's question that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
DXCM DexCom, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-08 B+
RDCM RADCOM Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-01-31 A
PFE Pfizer Inc. Q4 2023 2024-01-30 F
NVAX Novavax, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 F
RVLV Revolve Group, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 C
APPS Digital Turbine, Inc. Q1 2024 2023-08-08 D
SIBN SI-BONE, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-07 C+
HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company Q3 2022 2022-11-05 C
CMLS Cumulus Media Inc. Q3 2022 2022-10-28 D
YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Q2 2022 2022-08-25 C+
CDXC ChromaDex Corporation Q4 2021 2022-03-09 C+
VNDA Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. Q4 2021 2022-02-23 F
AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Q3 2018 2018-11-01 C
AMGN Amgen Inc. Q3 2018 2018-10-30 B+
MAS Masco Corporation Q3 2018 2018-10-30 C
PRIM Primoris Services Corporation Q2 2018 2018-08-11 C+
ATI Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Q1 2018 2018-04-24 B
HOLX Hologic, Inc. Q4 2017 2017-11-08 D
BIIB Biogen Inc. Q2 2017 2017-07-25 B
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. Q2 2017 2017-07-20 B
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Q1 2017 2017-05-09 C
PDCO Patterson Companies, Inc. Q3 2017 2017-02-23 C
BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Q4 2016 2017-01-26 F
MAT Mattel, Inc. Q3 2016 2016-10-19 C

How the model reasoned

NVAX · Q3 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company RECENTLY OBTAINED A PERMISSION, APPROVAL, QUALIFICATION, CERTIFICATION, LISTING, OR ACCESS RIGHT it did not previously hold — something grant...NO The transcript describes shipments of the updated COVID vaccine that began three weeks ago in the US after competitor launches, along with EU approval in October. However, these details do not meet the criteria for a YES answer because the transcript does not explicitly frame this as a newly obtained permission or access right that the company did not previously hold. Instead, it presents the launch as an update to their existing COVID-19 vaccine platform, with references to prior versions and the ability to update for seasonal strains.
MAT · Q3 2016 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company recently obtained a permission, approval, etc., that it didn't previously hold, and that real first business through that newly open...YES The transcript shows management describing a recent new partnership with Toys "R" Us for American Girl, granting exclusive store-within-store access that previously excluded the company. Initial shipping began in the first full quarter, with the distribution build still in early stages and most of the market potential ahead.
MAS · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company recently obtained a permission, approval, etc., that it didn't previously hold, and that real first business through that newly open...YES The transcript shows management describing a recent program access at Menards that enables sales of stock cabinetry, with initial performance already underway and ramping toward an $80 million annual run rate in Q4—indicating the door is newly open and most of the potential volume remains ahead.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.