Reporting the counterparty's growth as its own: management explains the company's coming year by narrating what its cust
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2023 call → NOWe need to determine if management's forward account consists of narrating what its counterparties are themselves doing and scaling. The question asks: does a substantial part of management's forward account consist of reporting on the growth, expansion, ramp, adoption, or program build-out of specific customers, partners, licensees, distributors, payers, operators, or programs the company already supplies or serves, such that the company's own coming volume is presented as a consequence of those parties' own trajectories rather than of the company's selling effort? We need to check the transcript. Management discusses operators like Signature Health, Avamere, Ensign. They talk about their performance, occupancy improvements, labor trends, etc. But is the forward account driven by those operators' own scaling? Let's see. Rick Matros: "We're continuing to see traction in operational recovery. Occupancy in our skilled nursing portfolio has now improved every month in the fourth quarter and continued through January. ... Labor trends are improving, but it's still tough, and it's going to be a bit of a slog there I think for a while, but we're certainly off our highs in terms of inflationary increases and agency utilization. ... EBITDARM coverage without PRF ... has improved sequentially on a trailing 12-month basis and even more so on a trailing three-month basis. I want to comment on a couple of specific operators. I think everybody saw I noted Signature Health coverage declined. Signature Health had a tough second half. They sold 24 facilities close to and right-sized their corporate infrastructure to accommodate a leaner company. And so that was quite distracting for them. However, their first quarter rebounded dramatically and I went back over a year and a half to find a quarter that was as strong as the first quarter is for Signature Health and wasn't able to find one. So we feel really good about where Sig Health is on a current basis. Similarly, Avamere, while their coverage was fine as reported. They also had a strong first quarter as well. Comment quickly on the transition from the old North American portfolio, that's going well for Avamere and it's going well for Ensign, as Ensign noted on their earnings call, they are ahead of schedule even though there's still a lot of upside to be had there.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| MBLY | Mobileye Global Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B+ |
| PI | Impinj, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-08 | B+ |
| FAT | FAT Brands Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-21 | F |
| OOMA | Ooma, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2021-12-02 | B+ |
| ILMN | Illumina, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-24 | A |
| PLAB | Photronics, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-05-17 | C+ |
| IONS | Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-09 | C |
| FNV | Franco-Nevada Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-08 | B+ |
| HXL | Hexcel Corporation | Q4 2015 | 2016-01-22 | B+ |
OOMA · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management narrates what its counterparties are doing and scaling, presenting the company's future volume as a consequence of those parties' trajectories.
MBLY · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management narrates what its counterparties are doing and scaling, presenting the company's volume as a consequence of those parties' trajectories.
ILMN · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management narrates what its counterparties are doing and scaling, presenting the company's future as a consequence of those parties' trajectories.