Second engine igniting off the first: an unplanned-for adjacent revenue stream has started paying, and management is now
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2023 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes a second, distinct way of making money that emerged from existing operations, is already generating real paying business, and is being deliberately grown. Looking at the transcript, there are several potential candidates. The most prominent is the carbon capture and storage (CCS) project with CapturePoint and Oxy. Management says: "we continue to make progress on our carbon capture and storage project with Capture Point that is related to our North Louisiana treating plants." This is a project that leverages existing treating plants. However, is it already generating real paying business? The transcript says they are "working together to obtain long-term commitments of CO2 from industrial customers" and "If this project reaches FID, Energy Transfer would construct a CO2 pipeline". So it's not yet paying; it's still in development. So that's not it. Another candidate: The NGL export expansion at Nederland. That's an expansion of existing business, not a second distinct avenue. What about the petrochemical project at Nederland? Management talks about a "petchem facility" and "our petchem project". They say "we have an extreme amount of interest" and "we are focused with one equity partner today" but it's not yet FID, not paying. So no. What about the LNG project at Lake Charles? That's a separate project, but it's not yet built, not paying. What about the alternative energy front? They mention ammonia facilities, but those are discussions. What about the CO2 pipeline? Not yet. What about the "second avenue" that grew out of existing operations? Perhaps the interstate segment? No, that's just a segment. Look at the crude oil segment: they acquired Lotus assets, but that's an acquisition, not organic. What about the fact that they have record NGL exports? That's just more of the same. The question asks: "a SECOND, DISTINCT WAY OF MAKING MONEY has recently emerged FROM the company's existing operations, assets, customers, or capabilities - an additional revenue avenue that grew out of what the company already does rather than a separate diversification - AND that this second avenue is ALREADY GENERATING REAL PAYING BUSINESS today while management is now deliberately putting effort or resources behind growing it?" I need to find something that is already generating revenue and is being grown.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M | Macy's, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-02 | D |
| CMLS | Cumulus Media Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-10-28 | D |
| GDRX | GoodRx Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-08 | F |
| SOPH | SOPHiA GENETICS SA | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-15 | C |
| SLQT | SelectQuote, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-07 | F |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| IRBT | iRobot Corporation | Q3 2021 | 2021-10-28 | D |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-24 | C+ |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-10-23 | B |
| MITK | Mitek Systems, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-07 | C+ |
| IONS | Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-09 | C |
LRN · Q1 2019 → YESThe question is: Does management describe a SECOND, DISTINCT WAY OF MAKING MONEY that has recently emerged FROM the company's existing operations, assets, customers, or capabilities - an additional re...YES The transcript shows career readiness as a distinct second revenue avenue that emerged directly from the existing MPS business: students already enrolled in Managed Public Schools are being moved into career readiness programs (over 5,000 students), and the initiative is built on the same platform, curriculum, and student base. Management explicitly describes it as a “career readiness line of business” and “robust career readiness business” that is already generating paying enrollments today while they are deliberately investing resources—dedicated executives, reallocation of funds, and plans to drive a major portion of next year’s enrollment growth.
M · Q4 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe a SECOND, DISTINCT WAY OF MAKING MONEY that has recently emerged FROM the company's existing operations, assets, customers, or capabilities - an additional re...YES The transcript shows that Macy’s Marketplace is explicitly described as a distinct new revenue avenue that emerged directly from their existing e-commerce operations and customer base (macys.com, cross-shoppers, and omnichannel platform). Jeff Gennette states it “captures incremental sales opportunity,” “drives a larger average order value,” “allows us to quickly move into new and adjacent categories without inventory risk,” and “attracts a new younger customer,” while management is actively scaling it by adding 2,000 brands in 2023 and launching Bloomingdale’s marketplace in the back half.
GDRX · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe a SECOND, DISTINCT WAY OF MAKING MONEY that has recently emerged FROM the company's existing operations, assets, customers, or capabilities - an additional re...YES The transcript shows that Pharma Manufacturer Solutions is the second distinct revenue avenue that emerged from GoodRx’s existing operations. Trevor explicitly states: “Our distinct ability to reach both consumers and providers continues to be recognized by manufacturers as evidenced by the strong growth.” This capability originated from the core prescription-transactions platform and user base 3 years earlier (when other offerings were only ~5% of revenue). In Q2 2022 it generated $26.6 million (102% YoY growth) and is already producing real paying business.