Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes successive engagements of the same kind coming in at progressively larger size. The question asks about a specific phenomenon: the unit size of the company's repeatable business escalating. We need to look for management's own words conveying that the deals, orders, contracts, projects, customers, sites, or programs they are landing now are individually bigger, broader, or longer than before for the same offering. Let's review the transcript. The call is about Atmos Energy's Q1 2017 results. Management discusses rate cases, capital investments, regulatory filings, etc. They talk about rate increases, capital spending, and the acquisition of a pipeline. They also mention customer growth and transportation revenues. Key points: They mention that rate outcomes have provided annual operating increases of about $20 million, and they have pending filings seeking about $78 million. They expect to make 12-15 more filings this fiscal year requesting $70-80 million. They talk about capital investments of $1.1-1.25 billion this year, and $1.1-1.4 billion every year through fiscal '20. They also mention the acquisition of a 140-mile pipeline for $85 million. But the question is about the size of individual engagements, contracts, projects, etc. Are they saying that each new rate case or each new project is bigger than the last? Or that the average size of new orders is increasing? The transcript doesn't seem to indicate that. They talk about a pipeline of filings, but not about the size of each filing increasing. They talk about capital spending increasing, but that could be due to more projects, not necessarily larger individual projects. They also mention customer growth of 0.8% or about 24,000 customers, but that's volume, not size per customer. The acquisition of the pipeline is a single transaction, but they don't frame it as part of an upward drift in deal size. They just mention it as a purchase. There is no mention of "larger deals" or "bigger contracts" or "escalating unit size." The company is a utility, so its business is rate-regulated. The "engagements" might be rate cases, but they don't say that each rate case is larger than the last. They just list filings. Thus, the answer is NO. The management does not describe that successive engagements are coming in at progressively larger size.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.