Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2016 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes successive engagements of the same kind coming in at progressively larger size. The question asks about escalation of unit size of repeatable business. We need to look for management's own words conveying that the deals, orders, contracts, projects, etc. are individually bigger, broader, or longer than before. In the transcript, management discusses the SCOOP acquisition, which is a large acquisition. But is that a repeatable business? The acquisition is a one-time event, not a recurring engagement. The question is about the company's own repeatable business, like drilling wells, completions, etc. Management talks about increasing lateral lengths, increasing sand volumes, etc. But that's about operational efficiency, not about the size of deals or contracts. They mention that they have locked in costs, but that's not about deal size. They talk about production growth, but that's volume. They mention that they are increasing activity levels, but that's more units. They mention that they have a multi-year inventory, but that's not about escalation of unit size. They mention that they are applying learnings from Utica to SCOOP, but that's not about deal size. They mention that they are increasing sand volumes and completion designs, but that's about well design, not about the size of contracts or projects. The question specifically asks about "successive engagements of the same kind" coming in at progressively larger size. For example, if they are signing contracts for drilling services, are those contracts getting bigger? Or if they are acquiring acreage, are those acquisitions getting bigger? But the SCOOP acquisition is a single large acquisition, not a series. They also mention that they are adding rigs, but that's more units. They mention that they are increasing lateral lengths, but that's about well design, not about the size of a contract or project. They mention that they are increasing the number of wells, but that's volume. They mention that they are increasing the size of completions, but that's about well design. The question is about the unit size of the company's own repeatable business. The company's business is drilling and completing wells, and selling oil and gas. The "engagements" might be wells, or contracts with service providers, or acquisitions.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.