Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2021 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes that successive engagements of the same kind are coming in at progressively larger size. The question asks about deals, orders, contracts, projects, customers, sites, or programs. The transcript is about TJX Companies, a retail company. They discuss sales, comps, margins, etc. They talk about market share, store openings, remodels, e-commerce launch. But do they describe that the size of individual deals or orders is escalating? They talk about average basket increasing, customers putting more items in carts. That could be interpreted as larger orders per customer. But is that a comparison against their own past? They say average ticket was down slightly vs fiscal '20 but improved significantly compared to first quarter, and was up in July. That suggests that the average transaction size is increasing over time. But is that "successive engagements of the same kind coming in at progressively larger size"? Possibly. However, the question is about the company's own repeatable business unit size escalating. For a retailer, the "unit" could be a store, a customer transaction, an order. They mention that average basket increased, customers putting more items into carts. That is a per-customer engagement size increasing. But is that a comparison against their own recent past? Yes, they compare to fiscal '20 and to first quarter. They say average ticket was down slightly vs fiscal '20 but improved significantly compared to first quarter, and was up in July. So it's improving. But is that a coherent phenomenon of escalation? They also mention that they are seeing higher retails, adjusting retails, etc. But the question specifically asks about the size of deals, orders, contracts, projects, customers, sites, or programs. For a retailer, the "order" could be a customer's purchase. They say average basket increased, meaning customers are buying more items per visit. That is a larger order size. And they say it's improving over time. But is that a "progressive" escalation? They say it improved each month of the quarter and was up in July. So it's trending up. However, the question also requires that the escalation is early, meaning that reported results still reflect smaller-instance era and further instances at new larger size are expected. They don't explicitly say that.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.