Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2018 call → NOWe need to determine if management conveys that successive engagements of the same kind are coming in at progressively larger size. The question asks about deals, orders, contracts, projects, customers, sites, or programs. The transcript discusses acquisitions, rental homes, sales, expansions. We need to see if management says that the individual size of what they land now is bigger than before. Looking at the transcript: Sam Landy talks about acquisitions, expansions, rental home program. He says "We have broken ground on several of our expansions and anticipate completing 305 sites this year. Our expansions are primarily located in Tennessee... We will be building 261 sites at 4 separate locations in Tennessee. We also plan to develop 19 additional sites in Indiana and 25 additional sites in Ohio. We are currently working to obtain approvals to build approximately 500 sites in 2019." That is about expansions, but not necessarily about larger individual deals. It's about more sites overall. He also mentions acquisition pipeline: "Our acquisition pipeline currently consists of five properties containing 2,000 sites, with a blended occupancy rate of 66% for a total of $78 million." That is a pipeline, not yet closed. He says "We expect to close the deal here coming up in the next few weeks, and then we have two scheduled with closing dates for December that's actually about $35 million." That is about closing deals, but not about size escalation. The question is about whether the company's own repeatable business is escalating in unit size. For example, are they acquiring larger communities than before? Or are they renting more homes per community? Or are they selling more homes per sale? The transcript doesn't explicitly say that the size of each deal is larger than in the past. They talk about growth in sales, rental income, etc., but that could be volume. Look for any statement like "the average size of our acquisitions has increased" or "we are now acquiring communities with more sites than we used to." Not present. The only mention of size is about expansions: they are building 305 sites this year, and planning 500 in 2019. That is an increase in the number of sites they are developing, but that is not necessarily about the size of each individual project. They are building more sites overall, but the question is about the unit size of each engagement.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.