Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2016 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes successive engagements of the same kind coming in at progressively larger size. Look for comparisons against own past, already real and recurring, and early stage. In the transcript, Steve Komar discusses various opportunities. Key points: - TLM: "we continue to penetrate and widen our relationships under the Department of Homeland Security, BPA. Today we have generated in excess of $150 million in revenue under the $600 million BPA umbrella. And we've recently begun to see the revenue mix starting to swing towards the higher margin, managed services, and technical refreshes that are increasingly required as these captive agency relationships mature." This is about revenue mix, not necessarily deal size. - Coast Guard: "we are still awaiting our national task order from the largest remaining agency, the U.S. Coast Guard. Although their Phase I launch... has taken longer than forecasted... we are confident that it is only weeks away." He says "it appears that if everything rolls out as has been planned by the Coast Guard, Phase I and itself could add in excess of $10 and profitable revenues to wide point in 2017. And with additional phases, we could quickly see the U.S. Coast Guard become the largest client in our ever growing roster of federal agents." This suggests Coast Guard could be largest, but is that a comparison to past? He says "largest client" but not necessarily that deals are getting larger over time. It's a single new agency. - Identity management: "WidePoint has now become the first service provider to receive an ATO... WidePoint is now the sole authorized provider of that credential and we believe that we have upto a 12 month competitively advantage window to capture this market opportunity." This is about a new credential, not about size escalation. - AT&T: "our expanded relationship with AT&T as their Internet of Things, IOT industrial Internet partner. Under which AT&T will utilize our cert on device technology as their designated security solution for their multiple IOT offerings." This is a new partnership, not necessarily larger than past. - EBPP: "we continue our exploration of penetrating the North American marketplace with our proprietary EBPP... now in a pre-launch U.S. product customization mode" - not about size.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.