Sold out of itself: management is turning demand away today because the company cannot supply it, and the fix is already
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2023 call → NOWe need determine if management describes currently failing to serve demand already have. Key elements: unserved buyers, material, remedy underway. Transcript: Rich discusses signings, installations, box office. Any mention of demand exceeding supply? They mention "competition for our screens" between Mission Impossible and Oppenheimer, but that's within slate, not inability to serve buyers. They mention Oppenheimer sold out 4am shows, people traveling/flying to see IMAX. That suggests demand for IMAX screens, but are they turning away buyers? Sold out shows are normal for hit movies; not a capacity shortfall in terms of company's inability to supply theaters? The company has fixed number of screens; sold out is normal, but they don't describe expanding screens to meet that specific demand. They discuss building more film cameras? "we are exploring are there more of them that we could possibly refurbish and bring into service." Also "we are thinking of other opportunities and building new 70-millimeter projectors" - that's exploration, not committed. Also "we will build several more film cameras" already said? Let's read: "we've already said that we're going to build several more film cameras. So that way, filmmakers will have the ability to do it. The projectors are all dated. It's not like a new generation, but we are exploring are there more of them that we could possibly refurbish and bring into service." So this is about serving filmmakers wanting 70mm? But are there actual buyers turned away? They don't describe exhibitors being turned away for system installations. They mention installations are back-end loaded, signings 84 vs 47, but no statement that they can't install fast enough or are deferring orders. They say "we are seeing exhibitors bring more IMAX... signings momentum... installations are ramping" but no mention of backlog constraints or turning away. They mention "we had a great quarter from a tactive Products and Services segment" etc. No mention of inability to serve. They talk about "the competition for our screens" meaning studios want IMAX screens for their films, but they can only play one film at a time.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRBR | BellRing Brands, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-21 | B+ |
| PRPH | ProPhase Labs, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-11 | F |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| PI | Impinj, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-08 | B+ |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-19 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-10 | C |
| FLUX | Flux Power Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-10 | D |
| GTES | Gates Industrial Corporation plc | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-07 | C+ |
| EXP | Eagle Materials Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-01-27 | B |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| EMR | Emerson Electric Co. | Q3 2021 | 2021-08-04 | B+ |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-12 | A |
| AOSL | Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited | Q2 2018 | 2018-02-07 | B |
| ZBH | Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-07-30 | F |
OGI · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company is CURRENTLY FAILING TO SERVE DEMAND IT ALREADY HAS — real buyers being turned away, etc., because they can't supply, AND already spending or...YES The transcript shows management describing a current situation where demand is outstripping supply ("we have been really tight on our supply. Our demand was outstripping our supply"), leading to turning away or limiting sales to certain provinces ("we were really stealing from 1 pocket to the other as we're trying to balance the demand to what available capacity we had" and limiting SHRED distribution). This is material, as it affects their ability to serve existing customers fully.
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is whether management describes the company currently failing to serve demand it already has, and already spending or committing to remove that limit. YES The transcript shows clients securing space in take-or-pay arrangements because of tight capacity, indicating unserved demand from existing buyers. Management notes capacity is well utilized and they are hiring staff to accommodate higher forecasted demand, confirming they are already acting to close the gap. This situation is material given the backlog growth and emphasis on availability over price.
BRBR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is whether management describes the company currently failing to serve demand it already has, and already spending or committing to remove that limit. NO The transcript shows ongoing capacity constraints and tight supply dynamics, with management noting they are holding back on marketing/promotions due to limited supply and that they lost customers in prior years due to capacity.