Somebody else pays first: management describes counterparties putting their own money down ahead of delivery
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2023 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes counterparties putting their own money or resources at risk before receiving what they pay for, as something actually happening now. Look for deposits, prepayments, take-or-pay, etc. In the transcript, Todd Becker discusses negotiations for 60% protein, dextrose, etc. He says "we are in late-stage negotiations with several current counterparties for a significant portion of our production over the next several years." That's not yet committed. He says "we have enough identified demand" but not that they've paid. He mentions "we are nearing some commercial agreements" but not that they've signed. He says "we have started to sell 60% protein" but that's normal sales. No mention of deposits or prepayments. He talks about "multi-year negotiation" for dextrose, but not that customers have paid. He says "we are negotiating for shipments this year" but not that they've committed capital. There is no mention of take-or-pay or capacity reservations. The only thing about money is that they have liquidity, but that's from operations. No counterparty pre-funding. So answer NO.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PDS | Precision Drilling Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | B |
| NBTX | Nanobiotix S.A. | Q2 2023 | 2023-09-27 | D |
| BLZE | Backblaze, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-11 | D |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| VNRX | VolitionRx Limited | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | F |
| FAT | FAT Brands Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-21 | F |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| EEX | Emerald Holding, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-01 | C+ |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| ROP | Roper Technologies, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | A |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities Corporation | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-10 | A |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
SYM · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the people on the OTHER SIDE of the company's business are now PUTTING THEIR OWN MONEY OR RESOURCES AT RISK BEFORE they receive what they are paying for ...YES The transcript shows management describing real advance commitments from customers: the $11.3 billion backlog (more than doubled), strong deferred revenue on the balance sheet representing a "very significant cost float," and contracts that lock in commitments with restricted changes. Revenue is recognized on a percentage-of-completion basis during deployment, meaning payments 18 months ahead of acceptance. This is framed as an active benefit enabling confident scaling, not a routine or historical norm. They also note improved supplier terms, but the customer-side pre-funding via deferred revenue and backlog is explicitly highlighted as occurring now. This meets the criteria for counterparties committing capital ahead of delivery.
EVGO · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the people on the OTHER SIDE of the company's business are now PUTTING THEIR OWN MONEY OR RESOURCES AT RISK BEFORE they receive what they are paying for ...YES The transcript shows management describing the eXtend model with Pilot and GM where the customer (Pilot/GM) incurs the upfront capital expenditures for the charging infrastructure, while EVgo receives ongoing revenues from operations, maintenance, and services. This is presented as an actual, current business arrangement that provides EVgo with immediate cash flow and contracted revenues, not as a future hope or industry norm. Cathy Zoi notes the agreement exceeds IRR hurdles and provides near-term revenue, and Olga Shevorenkova explains the customer funds the build-out, enabling EVgo to generate margin as developer and operator.
BLZE · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the people on the OTHER SIDE of the company's business are now PUTTING THEIR OWN MONEY OR RESOURCES AT RISK BEFORE they receive what they are paying for ...YES The transcript shows management describing B2 Reserve as a capacity-based pricing program that includes premium support and free data migration, with revenue ramping in Q3. Frank notes B2 Reserve contracts are "effectively committed contracts," and Gleb calls them "committed contracts" in response to an investor question. This is presented as occurring now, with "initial ramp in demand" and "revenue increasing each month of Q3," not as a future plan or industry norm. The capacity-reservation aspect aligns with the described phenomenon of counterparties committing capital in advance.