Someone else's clock has started running against them: the company is being paid to solve a problem that is already cost
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if the transcript describes a "running meter on the other side" and "the other side is already acting like the meter is running" as one coherent situation. The question asks: "does management describe that ITS COUNTERPARTIES ARE ALREADY LOSING SOMETHING REAL AND ONGOING ... FOR AS LONG AS THEY DO NOT HAVE WHAT THIS COMPANY PROVIDES, and that this accumulating loss on the other side is ALREADY VISIBLE in how those parties are behaving toward the company today?" We need to find if management describes such a dynamic. Let's scan the transcript for relevant comments. There is a discussion about the LIBOR to SOFR transition. Terry Duffy says: "we were able to transition most of it into the LIBOR futures and – or SOFR futures and options market, which is critically important. And we also did something else that we said we would do a year ago. We thought we would benefit by both Eurodollar trading and SOFR futures trading, and that's exactly what's happening." That doesn't sound like a running meter. Sean Tully mentions: "the adoption of the SOFR futures and options... We are not there yet. That is our strategy." Not a running meter. There is a discussion about BrokerTec and EBS. Terry mentions "the final end game here of creating the efficiency as it relates to margin offsets with our futures products. We have – DTCC has finalized all of their applications to the SEC... So, we're hopeful that once the SEC approves this, they have, I believe, a 60-day window once the business – the apps have been presented to them, which they are now are that we will achieve much higher benefits for our clients." That is about future regulatory approval, not already happening. There is a discussion about the migration of BrokerTec and EBS to Globex. Sean says: "we are starting to see some of the benefits of the move to Globex... cross-selling... RV trading... all-time record." That is about benefits for CME, not counterparties losing something. There is a discussion about the Google investment and S&P Dow Jones Indices. Not relevant. There is a discussion about market data, cloud migration, retail, etc. None of these seem to describe a situation where counterparties are currently incurring a loss because they don't have the company's offering, and they are acting urgently to get it.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| GTES | Gates Industrial Corporation plc | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-07 | C+ |
SYM · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that ITS COUNTERPARTIES ARE ALREADY LOSING SOMETHING REAL AND ONGOING — money, output, access, standing, time, or an opportunity of their own — FOR AS LONG AS...YES The transcript shows management describing customers' ongoing pain from labor shortages and broken supply chains that prevent them from handling demand, with customers actively clamoring for faster deployments and wanting the system as quickly as possible.
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is whether management describes that their counterparties are already losing something real and ongoing — money, output, access, standing, time, or an opportunity — for as long as they do...
GTES · Q4 2021 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that ITS COUNTERPARTIES ARE ALREADY LOSING SOMETHING REAL AND ONGOING — money, output, access, standing, time, or an opportunity of their own — FOR AS LONG AS...