Still getting better as they speak: strength that has continued or built past the reported period, tied to named live dr
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2021 call → NOWe need to determine if management conveys that positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the reported period (Q3 2021) and ties that to a named, already-live driver. Let's scan the transcript for statements about current activity beyond Q3. - Karl Glassman: "we are extremely pleased that our teams were able to deliver third quarter earnings in line with a pre-pandemic and relatively strong third quarter of 2019." That's about Q3. - Mitch Dolloff: "Sales in our Bedding Products segment were up 13% versus the third quarter of 2020... Volume was down in both the 1- and 2-year periods, primarily due to chemical shortages, labor availability and transportation issues, which continue to constrain U.S. mattress production negatively impacting component demand and our finished goods production. Availability of chemicals used in our Specialty Foam operation is slowly improving but remains challenging and dynamic." That's about constraints, not strength. - "Our European Bedding business softened during the third quarter as consumer demand returned to more normal seasonal levels." That's a softening. - "We expect strong demand in our Home Furniture business for the remainder of the year and into 2022." That's a forecast, not observed activity. - "Work Furniture sales continued sequential improvement for the fifth consecutive quarter, with strong demand for products sold for residential use and improving demand in the contract market." That's about Q3 and prior quarters, but does it say it's continuing beyond? It says "continued sequential improvement" for the fifth consecutive quarter, which includes Q3. But no statement about after Q3. - "In our Automotive business, volumes were down... The semiconductor issues... remain the major challenge... Industry production was impacted to a much larger degree than expected... Consumer demand remained strong and vehicle inventory remains at record low levels. Once supply chain stabilize, the industry should see improving production." That's a forecast. - "In our Aerospace business, demand for fabricated duct assemblies is near third quarter 2019 levels, but demand for welded and seamless tube products is still well below pre-pandemic levels." That's a mixed.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-09 | A |
| AZEK | The AZEK Company Inc. | Q2 2024 | 2024-05-08 | B+ |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | A |
| PPC | Pilgrim's Pride Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | A |
| CW | Curtiss-Wright Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-02 | B+ |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-01 | B+ |
| PDS | Precision Drilling Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | B |
| ASM | Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-21 | C+ |
| GIII | G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | Q4 2024 | 2024-03-14 | C |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| NICE | NICE Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | B+ |
| MET | MetLife, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-01 | B+ |
| HP | Helmerich & Payne, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-01-30 | C |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| BRBR | BellRing Brands, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-21 | B+ |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-10-27 | B+ |
| TGLS | Tecnoglass Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-08 | A |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-02 | C+ |
| NMR | Nomura Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2023-08-02 | D |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| IMAX | IMAX Corporation | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-26 | B+ |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-13 | A |
| FTHM | Fathom Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-10 | C |
| BXSL | Blackstone Secured Lending Fund | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-10 | A |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| VRE | Veris Residential, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | D |
| ADPT | Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-14 | C+ |
| PI | Impinj, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-08 | B+ |
| CNA | CNA Financial Corporation | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-06 | B |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-18 | B |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| CHUY | Chuy's Holdings, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-05 | C+ |
| SBGI | Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-02 | C |
| YMM | Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-25 | C+ |
| ASTS | AST SpaceMobile, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-15 | D |
| TMCI | Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-13 | B+ |
| WD | Walker & Dunlop, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| DM | Desktop Metal, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-08 | F |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | A |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| IT | Gartner, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | A |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| CME | CME Group Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-27 | B |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-19 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| ZVIA | Zevia PBC | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | B |
| VNRX | VolitionRx Limited | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | F |
| WHF | WhiteHorse Finance, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-10 | B+ |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-10 | C |
| BFIN | BankFinancial Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-06 | A |
| CCRN | Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-04 | B |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| WRB | W. R. Berkley Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-04-26 | B |
| FAT | FAT Brands Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-21 | F |
| SOPH | SOPHiA GENETICS SA | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-15 | C |
| HROW | Harrow Health, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-10 | C |
| NGVT | Ingevity Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-25 | B |
| FLUX | Flux Power Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-10 | D |
| GTES | Gates Industrial Corporation plc | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-07 | C+ |
| EXP | Eagle Materials Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-01-27 | B |
| OOMA | Ooma, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2021-12-02 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| RNW | ReNew Energy Global Plc | Q2 2022 | 2021-11-18 | C |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-17 | B+ |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | A |
| SXC | SunCoke Energy, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-01 | A |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| TJX | The TJX Companies, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-18 | C |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-09 | D |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| EMR | Emerson Electric Co. | Q3 2021 | 2021-08-04 | B+ |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | C+ |
| UMH | UMH Properties, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-11-02 | C+ |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| ROP | Roper Technologies, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | A |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway Limited | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-19 | B+ |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-13 | B+ |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-12 | A |
| ILMN | Illumina, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-24 | A |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| LIND | Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-06 | C |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| BIIB | Biogen Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-07-25 | B |
| IONS | Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-09 | C |
| ICFI | ICF International, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-06 | B+ |
| BLKB | Blackbaud, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-02 | B+ |
| SHOO | Steven Madden, Ltd. | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-03-03 | B+ |
| EVBN | Evans Bancorp, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-06 | B+ |
| PRI | Primerica, Inc. | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-10 | B+ |
| NDSN | Nordson Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-08-23 | A |
| NWSA | News Corporation | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-08 | C+ |
| GEO | The GEO Group, Inc. | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-02 | B+ |
| GES | Guess?, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2016-05-25 | F |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-13 | B |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| ESE | ESCO Technologies Inc. | Q2 2016 | 2016-05-03 | A |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | C+ |
| CAL | Caleres, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-03-15 | C+ |
| HPP | Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-02-25 | C |
| SAN | Banco Santander, S.A. | Q4 2015 | 2016-01-27 | B |
GES · Q1 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business's positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the period being reported, tied to a named, already-live driver. YES Management describes continued strength in Europe retail comps into Q2 ("up in the low double digits... maintaining the strong momentum we have seen since the second half of last year") and ties it to a specific, live driver: improved traffic and conversion rates. The wholesale order book also finished up 3%, confirming 3% growth in orders already placed. Product improvements are explicitly named as the underlying driver ("we are having a more comprehensive collection... improve our comps by generating more traffic... improve the product that we are offering"). This meets both criteria for continuation beyond the reported period tied to a named live driver.
ILMN · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business's positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the reported period, tied to a named, already-live driver. YES Management describes the sequencing consumables business as having "very exciting" trajectory and "tremendous momentum" that is "still in place" into the rest of 2018, explicitly tied to observed drivers already generating revenue in Q1 (NovaSeq, NextSeq, microarray, consumer genomics, oncology) and 2018 activity such as "approaching 100 orders" for iSeq and "growing interest" in single-cell research. They raise guidance based on these continuing trends rather than forecasts alone, confirming the strength has extended past the reported period through live business activity.
WRB · Q1 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management convey that the business's positive momentum HAS CONTINUED OR STRENGTHENED BEYOND THE PERIOD BEING REPORTED, and tie that to at least one NAMED, ALREADY-LIVE driver? ...NO The transcript shows management expressing confidence in Q1 momentum (especially March and later-quarter submissions in specialty/E&S) and noting that "every day that we are writing business in 2022 that goes by" is positive, but this is framed as ongoing daily activity within the current year rather than observed strength beyond the 2022 Q1 close. The call is April 25, 2022, so any post-quarter commentary is limited to general market trajectory comments without specific post-period-end activity metrics.