The new engine is already turning: a recently live driver is producing real business now, and management says the report
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2023 call → NOWe need to determine if management identifies a specific newer driver of business that is already producing real business now and that the reported period caught only the start of it. Let's review the transcript. Key points: - La Preciosa: They signed a long-term land use agreement, and they commenced hauling old surface stockpiles to their mill for processing. They have submitted environmental permit, but they anticipate receiving permits sometime in 2024. They are not budgeting for fresh production from La Preciosa in 2024, only stockpiles. So the stockpiles are being processed? They said "We will be processing that hopefully in Q2." So it's not yet producing? They said "we will be processing that hopefully in Q2" - so it's not yet producing. They have not started processing stockpiles yet. They are planning to. So that's not yet real business. - Oxide Tailings project: PFS completed, but next steps include community engagement and environmental impact studies. Not producing. - Avino mine: They are improving grades and recovery, but that's existing core business. - They mention cost reductions, but that's not a new driver. - They mention the dry stack facility is fully operational and transporting dry tailings to the open pit. That's a facility but it's for tailings, not revenue. - They mention the land use agreement and hauling stockpiles, but they haven't processed them yet. They said "we will be processing that hopefully in Q2" - so it's not yet producing. - They also mention that they have slowed mining rates to match mill, but that's not a new driver. - They mention the five-year growth plan, but that's future. - They mention the best drill intercept, but that's exploration. - They mention the PFS on Oxide Tailings, but that's a study. - They mention the land use agreement as a milestone, but they haven't started production. - They mention that they are expecting to receive permits sometime in 2024. So, is there any specific driver that is already producing real business now? The only thing that might be considered is the processing of stockpiles from La Preciosa, but they haven't started yet. They said "we will be processing that hopefully in Q2" - so it's not yet. Also, they mention that they have started hauling stockpiles, but that's just hauling, not processing.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FWONK | Formula One Group | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-08 | C+ |
| HUYA | HUYA Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-19 | C |
| GIII | G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | Q4 2024 | 2024-03-14 | C |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-30 | F |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | F |
| AEP | American Electric Power Company, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C+ |
| APPS | Digital Turbine, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2023-08-08 | D |
| AFL | Aflac Incorporated | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-02 | C+ |
| TGT | Target Corporation | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-28 | C |
| BLZE | Backblaze, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-11 | D |
| MEC | Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-05 | B+ |
| SYY | Sysco Corporation | Q1 2023 | 2022-11-01 | C+ |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | A |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | Q4 2022 | 2022-06-22 | B |
| ADSE | ADS-TEC Energy PLC | Q4 2021 | 2022-04-28 | D |
| SLQT | SelectQuote, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-07 | F |
| FORM | FormFactor, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-02 | B |
| OOMA | Ooma, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2021-12-02 | B+ |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-17 | B+ |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | C |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-10-23 | B |
| PRIM | Primoris Services Corporation | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-11 | C+ |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| TOUR | Tuniu Corporation | Q4 2017 | 2018-03-14 | D |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-03 | C+ |
| BDC | Belden Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-02 | B |
| ESE | ESCO Technologies Inc. | Q2 2016 | 2016-05-03 | A |
| CAL | Caleres, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-03-15 | C+ |
OOMA · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management identifies a specific newer driver of business that is already producing real business now, but the reported period caught only the start of it. YES The transcript identifies the largest customer's expansion as the specific newer driver. Management describes launching service at approximately thirty new locations during Q3 (actual transactions occurring in the reported period) while noting that "this month, we are rolling out to several additional locations" and planning a "larger scale rollout early next year," with 30 locations already added and "we are now quite close to executing our full plan." This framing shows the reported period captured only the early stage of the ramp, as the full scale is still ahead.
TGT · Q4 2022 → YESThe question is whether management identifies a SPECIFIC NEWER DRIVER OF BUSINESS that is already producing real business now, but the reported period caught only the start of it. YES The specific newer driver is Drive-Up returns. It started as a pilot last year (so some activity in the reported period), but management announces it today as the next phase now being rolled out across the chain by end of summer, meaning the reported period captured only the early/pilot stage while the broader delivery and 2023 contribution are still ramping. This is presented as already producing real business (pilot) but with most committed activity ahead, and it is meaningfully tied to scaling the stores-as-hub model.
BDC · Q4 2016 → YESThe question is about whether management identifies a specific newer driver of business that is already producing real business now, but the reported period caught only the start of it. YES The transcript identifies Grass Valley's open-architecture IP infrastructure system as the specific newer driver. Management describes it as already transacting via a significant multimillion-dollar order won in Q4 (with 11% orders growth and book-to-bill of 1.