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The streak is alive

The streak is alive: management narrates back-to-back quarters of the same improvement and shows this quarter extended i

Calls Tested
444
Answered YES
38
Hit Rate
8.6%
rare by design

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) — this company's answers

NO on the Q3 2021 call 2021-11-09 C
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2021 call → NO我们根据要求判断。管理层是否将本季度描述为连续改善序列中的最新一步?需要三个条件:1)有名称的改善在连续期间重复;2)最新步骤是真实的;3)管理层认为序列仍在继续,由公司自身驱动。 在电话会议中,管理层提到“occupancy increased”等。具体看:安全部门占用率从去年同期提高110个基点,社区部门提高180个基点。但这是与去年同期比较,不是与上一季度比较。管理层说“during the third quarter we did see many of our state customers increased their utilization of our facilities which contributed to modest increases in our occupancy compared with the prior year quarter.” 这是同比。另外提到“Occupancy in our safety and community facilities continues to reflect the impact of COVID-19, but increased to 72.1% in the third quarter of 2021 from 70.9% in the prior year quarter and increased from 71.6% in the second quarter of 2021.” 这里明确说从第二季度到第三季度增加了,即环比增加。所以有环比改善。但这是否构成“连续期间”的序列?管理层没有说“连续几个季度”或“又一个季度增长”。他们只是说从第二季度到第三季度增加了。没有提到之前几个季度是否也增加。实际上,从上下文看,2020年受疫情影响,人口下降,然后2021年逐渐恢复。但管理层没有明确说这是连续改善的序列。他们提到“As courtroom operations gradually reopened and operations normalized, we anticipate this trend in utilization to continue.” 但这是预期,不是已经发生的连续序列。 另外,管理层提到“Operating margins have trended similarly and were 27.2% in the third quarter of 2021 compared with 23.8% in the prior year quarter and 26.8% in the second quarter of 2021.” 同样,环比从26.8%到27.2%增加,但也没有说连续几个季度。 关键点:管理层是否将本季度描述为“又一个季度”的改善?没有明确语言。他们只是给出了环比数据。而且,他们提到“we anticipate this trend in utilization to continue”是预期,但当前季度是真实的。但序列是否已经存在?从数据看,可能第二季度也比第一季度高?但管理层没有说。他们只提到了与去年同期和上一季度的比较。没有说“连续第三个季度”之类。 另外,管理层提到“we are leaning way forward, on increasing our staffing levels in anticipation of higher utilization rates” 这是预期,不是当前。 因此,我认为不满足条件1,因为管理层没有明确说这是连续改善的序列,只是环比改善。而且,他们也没有说“又一个季度”或“连续”。所以答案应为NO。 但再仔细看:他们提到“Occupancy in our safety and community facilities continues to reflect the impact of COVID-19, but increased to 72.1% in the third quarter of 2021 from 70.9% in the prior year quarter and increased from 71.6% in the second quarter of 2021.” 这里明确说从第二季度到第三季度增加了,但这是否构成“连续”?如果第二季度也比第一季度高,那么就是连续,但管理层没有说。而且,他们也没有说“连续”这个词。所以我认为不符合。 另外,管理层提到“The growth in adjusted EBITDA and the aforementioned per share metrics were achieved despite the sale of 47 properties...” 但那是同比。 因此,答案应为NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management present the just-reported period as THE LATEST STEP IN AN UNBROKEN, STILL-RUNNING SEQUENCE OF QUARTER-AFTER-QUARTER IMPROVEMENT IN THE SAME PART OF THE BUSINESS — explicitly connecting this period to the immediately preceding period or periods as one continuing climb — with real, current-period evidence that the sequence extended again? Answer YES when management's own words convey, in whatever form fits the business, ONE coherent pattern with all three of the following present: (1) A NAMED IMPROVEMENT THAT HAS NOW REPEATED ACROSS CONSECUTIVE PERIODS. Management identifies something specific about the business — such as orders, customers, volumes, output, utilization, activity, bookings, profitability, or the performance of a particular product, operation, or market — and describes it as having improved again this period on top of improvement in the immediately prior period or a run of recent consecutive periods. The chaining must be management's own sequential framing — for example, 'another quarter of growth,' 'our fourth consecutive quarter of...', 'improved again from last quarter,' 'each quarter this year has been stronger than the one before,' or equivalent language linking this period to the one(s) just before it. Comparisons made only against the year-ago period, or general claims of momentum without sequential linkage, do not qualify. (2) THE LATEST STEP IS REAL AND CURRENT. The extension of the streak in the just-reported period is grounded in things that actually happened — actual orders, sales, customers, volumes, shipments, activity, or results in this period described as above the prior period's level — not in forecasts, pipeline, or expectations of continued improvement. (3) MANAGEMENT TREATS THE SEQUENCE AS STILL RUNNING, DRIVEN BY SOMETHING OF THE COMPANY'S OWN. Management attributes the repeating improvement mainly to drivers attached to the company itself — its offering, customers, capabilities, capacity, or changes it made — that remain in force now, and conveys, directly or plainly in substance, that the sequence is continuing rather than concluded: the same drivers are still working, further steps are already forming, or the exit pace is at or above the period's level. Answer NO if the improvement is described only against the year-ago quarter or an easy comparison, with no explicit quarter-to-quarter chaining by management. NO if the period is presented as a single strong quarter, a rebound, or an inflection without a preceding consecutive run. NO if the streak is attributed mainly to external conditions — commodity prices, industry-wide shortage, restocking, pull-forward, seasonality, weather, or macro tailwinds — or to one-time events. NO if management itself signals the run is peaking, normalizing, or expected to pause. NO if the sequential improvement is only in cost cutting or shrinking losses on a declining business. NO if the streak framing appears only in an analyst's question or model that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
CRGO Freightos Limited Q1 2024 2024-05-20 C+
WRBY Warby Parker Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-09 A
MNKD MannKind Corporation Q4 2023 2024-02-27 C
DXCM DexCom, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-08 B+
MFC Manulife Financial Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-09 C+
BMBL Bumble Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-07 F
GOLD Barrick Gold Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-02 C
ALL The Allstate Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-02 C+
GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 B
TEL TE Connectivity Ltd. Q4 2023 2023-11-01 B
PTN Palatin Technologies, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-09-29 D
AEIS Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-03 B
PFIE Profire Energy, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-13 B
SPIR Spire Global, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-10 B
TSN Tyson Foods, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-05-08 D
CALX Calix, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-04-20 C+
TGT Target Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-28 C
VRE Veris Residential, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-22 D
TOST Toast, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-16 C+
PI Impinj, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-08 B+
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. Q3 2022 2022-11-13 B
SIBN SI-BONE, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-07 C+
KFY Korn Ferry Q4 2022 2022-06-22 B
WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-26 B
HROW Harrow Health, Inc. Q4 2021 2022-03-10 C
ALHC Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Q3 2021 2021-11-06 B+
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. Q3 2021 2021-11-04 B+
ASAN Asana, Inc. Q2 2022 2021-09-01 B+
PRPO Precipio, Inc. Q3 2018 2018-11-19 D
ALB Albemarle Corporation Q3 2018 2018-11-08 B
FMS Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA Q2 2018 2018-07-31 C
ORAN Orange SA Q2 2018 2018-07-26 B
NOVT Novanta Inc. Q4 2017 2018-05-12 B+
EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company Q3 2017 2017-08-08 D
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. Q2 2017 2017-07-20 B
FNV Franco-Nevada Corporation Q3 2016 2016-11-08 B+
GES Guess?, Inc. Q1 2017 2016-05-25 F
SAN Banco Santander, S.A. Q4 2015 2016-01-27 B

How the model reasoned

MNKD · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management present the just-reported period as THE LATEST STEP IN AN UNBROKEN, STILL-RUNNING SEQUENCE OF QUARTER-AFTER-QUARTER IMPROVEMENT IN THE SAME PART OF THE BUSINESS — expl...YES The transcript explicitly frames the just-reported quarter as the second consecutive (or second successive) profitable quarter for the endocrine business unit and for the Company overall. Management ties this directly to actual results in the current period (net income of $1 million GAAP and $7 million non-GAAP in Q4) following the prior 2023 quarter, and states they will continue to focus on growing the profitability of the endocrine business unit, which has had a positive contribution for two straight quarters.
CYBR · Q3 2021 → YESThe question is: Does management present the just-reported period as THE LATEST STEP IN AN UNBROKEN, STILL-RUNNING SEQUENCE OF QUARTER-AFTER-QUARTER IMPROVEMENT IN THE SAME PART OF THE BUSINESS — expl...YES Udi Mokady explicitly frames Q3 as “another amazing quarter” that follows “an incredible second quarter,” using the single word “acceleration” to describe the quarter. He then quantifies the extension with concrete current-period metrics: subscription ARR growth accelerated to 131 % (reaching $139 million), total 38 % ARR growth (reaching $344 million), recurring revenue growth accelerated to 41 % ($89 million), and new logos accelerated to over 230.
MFC · Q3 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management present the just-reported period as THE LATEST STEP IN AN UNBROKEN, STILL-RUNNING SEQUENCE OF QUARTER-AFTER-QUARTER IMPROVEMENT IN THE SAME PART OF THE BUSINESS — expl...YES Roy Gori explicitly frames core ROE as having been ahead of the 15%+ medium-term target for the second consecutive quarter, while noting a 35% rise in core EPS this quarter (on top of steady year-on-year growth in core earnings over the past three quarters). Colin reinforces the sequential nature by stating that core ROE “increase[d] to 16.8%” this quarter.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.