Young streak off a low base: a short run of consecutive-period improvement has just started, after a stretch that gave i
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2019 call → NO我们根据提供的财报电话会议记录来判断。问题问的是管理层是否传达了一个短期、连续改善的时期,大约2-4个连续改善期,并且原因在于公司本身且仍然有效。 从记录中,管理层提到了“连续八个季度EBA增长超过30%”(“Q3 also marked the eight consecutive quarter of greater than 30% growth in our EBAs”),但这是关于EBA的,且是长期记录。还有“Subscription plan ARR has more than doubled on a year-over-year basis for seven out of the last eight quarters.” 这是同比,不是连续环比。 “We had record growth in total ARR and total ARPS. In fact, this is the highest growth quarter for both since we started our business model transition over four years ago.” 这说的是本季度是最高增长,但不是连续改善,而是单季。 “cloud ARR growth” 提到“which helped us posted 36% growth in cloud ARR in the quarter” 这是同比,没有连续。 关于BIM 360,提到“I am excited to share that large customers like AECOM, Arcadis, Swinerton, and Layton have already started adopting our new platform” 但没有明确连续几季改善。 管理层说“We are making terrific progress while remaining committed to our FY 2020 goals.” 但没有明确说连续几季。 “we crossed the 30% mark for the sum of revenue growth and free cash flow margin” 这是累计指标。 看是否有“second, third, fourth period in a row”之类的表述。在记录中,Scott Herren说:“Q3 also marked the eight consecutive quarter of greater than 30% growth in our EBAs.” 这是8个季度,但那是长期,不是年轻。还有“For the past five quarters, our eStore has generated over 20% of the product subscriptions.” 这是连续5个季度,但那是关于eStore份额,且长期。 “We expect the number of M2S subs to increase in Q4 as our maintenance renewal opportunity is higher.” 这是预期。 “We had a strong quarter... built upon the strength of our Q2 results by posting accelerated growth” 这说明Q3比Q2好,但只有两个季度,且没有明确说连续几季。 问题要求“roughly two to four periods in a row”,并且要有一个之前不令人满意的阶段,然后年轻改善。管理层没有明确描述一个之前未impressive的时期,而是整个转型过程中一直在改善。实际上,管理层的说法是“我们开始转型以来,我们取得了进展”,没有说之前有停滞。 另外,关于“young run”的表述,管理层没有用“连续几个季度”这样的语言。比如“We had record growth in total ARR and total ARPS.” 这是单季记录,不是连续。 所以,我认为没有明确传达一个年轻连续改善的故事。答案应为NO。
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-09 | A |
| ASB | Associated Banc-Corp | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | A |
| KOPN | Kopin Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-14 | C+ |
| OLPX | Olaplex Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-29 | D |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| GPRE | Green Plains Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-07 | F |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-07 | F |
| ALL | The Allstate Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C+ |
| GOLD | Barrick Gold Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| SBRA | Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-04 | B |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| TOST | Toast, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-16 | C+ |
| PKOH | Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-13 | B |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| LEG | Leggett & Platt, Incorporated | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-02 | C |
| UFI | Unifi, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2021-08-07 | B |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | C+ |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-10-23 | B |
| ORAN | Orange SA | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | B |
| AVT | Avnet, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-01-25 | B |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
WRBY · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
ASB · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
KOPN · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...