Young streak off a low base: a short run of consecutive-period improvement has just started, after a stretch that gave i
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2021 call → NOWe need answer based on transcript. Need determine if management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement (roughly 2-4 periods) in a part business that until recently was unimpressive, causes attached to company and still in force. We need analyze transcript for such story. Candidates: card spend/loan growth? Travel and entertainment spend? IB fees? AWM flows? Branch expansion? Auto originations? Mortgage? Maybe "we are more than halfway through initial market expansion... opened more than 200 branches out of goal 400, which have exceeded expectations generating $7B deposits" - that's a run? But not quarterly consecutive. Look for management language: "quarter's trends made us optimistic" on card spend. Card spend up 45% y/y and up 22% vs 2019. "within that, compared to 2019, June total spend was up 24%, indicating some healthy acceleration throughout the quarter. And travel and entertainment has really turned the corner with spend flat versus second quarter of '19, accelerating from down 11% in April to actually up 13% in June." This is within quarter: April, May, June progression? It says "accelerating from down 11% in April to actually up 13% in June." That's month-over-month improvement. Prior stretch? Travel and entertainment had been weak due pandemic, unimpressive. Now it "turned the corner" with spend flat vs Q2 2019, up 13% in June. That's a young run? Within quarter, months April to June each better. Cause? "travel and entertainment has really turned the corner" due? Company's own? Not really, external reopening. Maybe not. Card spend overall: combined debit and credit spend up 45% year on year and more importantly up 22% vs Q2 2019. "We are quite optimistic that the current spend trends will convert into resumption of loan growth through end of this year and into next." But the improvement in spend vs 2019? Not consecutive periods? It says June total spend up 24% vs 2019, indicating acceleration throughout quarter. That's sequential within quarter. Prior stretch unimpressive? Card outstandings remained lower than pre-pandemic. But spend has been recovering? The run is young? Maybe management says "really turned the corner" for T&E. But cause? Reopening external. Another candidate: IB fees record. "It was an all-time record for IB fees, up 25% year on year... record Q2.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-09 | A |
| ASB | Associated Banc-Corp | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | A |
| KOPN | Kopin Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-14 | C+ |
| OLPX | Olaplex Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-29 | D |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| GPRE | Green Plains Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-07 | F |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-07 | F |
| ALL | The Allstate Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C+ |
| GOLD | Barrick Gold Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| SBRA | Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-04 | B |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| TOST | Toast, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-16 | C+ |
| PKOH | Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-13 | B |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| LEG | Leggett & Platt, Incorporated | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-02 | C |
| UFI | Unifi, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2021-08-07 | B |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | C+ |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-10-23 | B |
| ORAN | Orange SA | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | B |
| AVT | Avnet, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-01-25 | B |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
WRBY · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
ASB · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
KOPN · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...