Young streak off a low base: a short run of consecutive-period improvement has just started, after a stretch that gave i
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2018 call → NOWe need answer YES or NO based on transcript. Need evaluate criteria. Need find management conveying a young run of consecutive improvements in part of business that had been unimpressive, causes company-specific and still in force. Let's inspect transcript. Management statements: Ben Fink opening: "We are excited by our quarterly results with adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow of $314.5 million and $248.2 million, respectively. This robust sequential growth of 16% and 12% represents the beginning of the second half ramp that we promised at the beginning of the year. Third quarter coverage of 1.08 times has significantly expanded from the second quarter and our expectation of approximately 1.2 times coverage for both the fourth quarter of 2018 and full year 2019 remains unchanged." That's sequential growth Q3 vs Q2? "beginning of second half ramp" - Q3 improvement, but is there a young run of consecutive periods? Q3 sequential growth from Q2, but not necessarily multiple quarters. They mention "the beginning of the second half ramp" - only one period? Need 2-4 periods in a row. Maybe Delaware Basin strong growth supported by infrastructure coming online in Q2 and Q3. "We also saw continued volumetric growth in DJ Basin... and notably higher volumes in Marcellus..." But question asks run in part of business that until recently had been giving investors little reason to expect it. Could be Eagle Ford? Let's see. Analyst Jeremy asks about Granite/Eagle Ford: "Pivoting to a smaller part of the story in Granite, you know Eagle Ford is not main drivers here, but with Springfield it was down a bit with kind of some of the activities being noted there. But just wanted to get a sense for how you see activity behind your system there and kind of with most updated thoughts as far as the outlook?" Ben responds: "Okay, sure. And the quarter's volume sorry, as we mentioned it's really kind of weather driven. What we are dealing when the Eagle Ford is an operator who is an Eagle Ford pure play. And I'll remind you when we actually bought that asset in beginning of 2016, we thought the volumes were going to be in decline for at least three years, and then we got back to sequential growth less than two years after that. So, we are playing with house money. I love what the operator is doing.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-09 | A |
| ASB | Associated Banc-Corp | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | A |
| KOPN | Kopin Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-14 | C+ |
| OLPX | Olaplex Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-29 | D |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| GPRE | Green Plains Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-07 | F |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-07 | F |
| ALL | The Allstate Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C+ |
| GOLD | Barrick Gold Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| SBRA | Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-04 | B |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| TOST | Toast, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-16 | C+ |
| PKOH | Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-13 | B |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| LEG | Leggett & Platt, Incorporated | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-02 | C |
| UFI | Unifi, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2021-08-07 | B |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | C+ |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-10-23 | B |
| ORAN | Orange SA | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | B |
| AVT | Avnet, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-01-25 | B |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
WRBY · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
ASB · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
KOPN · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...