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Catalent, Inc. (CTLT) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 31 of CTLT's earnings calls (2016–2023) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q1 2024 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
F
Q4 2023
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
31
2016–2023
Avg Candor
6.7/9
evasion 3.6/9
High CandorSigns of StressCritic AmmunitionVolume Step-UpEarly Product, Fast GrowthUnderused Fixed CostsMargins ContractingCutting Headcount

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q1 2024 earnings call 2023-11-15 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q1 2024 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of CTLT's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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F Q4 2023 earnings call 2023-08-29 move ±10.1%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics, visibly under pressure.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: stableHeadcount: cuttingCapex: decreasing 11 analysts · 22 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthHidden segmentDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 6/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-06-12 move ±13.5%

Management lowered guidance against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics, visibly under pressure.

Guidance: loweredDemand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: stableHeadcount: cuttingCapex: decreasing 9 analysts · 18 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Prepayments growing✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthHidden segment
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 4/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 6/9
Complexity 8/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
YES Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q2 2023 earnings call 2023-02-07 move ±12.4%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingBacklog: growingPricing: stableHeadcount: cuttingCapex: flat 12 analysts · 23 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Prepayments growing✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growth⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 6/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
YES Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q1 2023 earnings call 2022-11-01 move ±21.9%

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingMargins: contractingBacklog: stablePricing: raisingCapex: decreasing 12 analysts · 28 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthHidden segmentCFO dominates
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
From the research question bank
1 more research questions answered NO

C+ Q4 2022 earnings call 2022-08-29 move ±10.9%

Management raised guidance against steady demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: raisedDemand: stableMargins: expandingBacklog: growingPricing: raisingCapex: increasing 13 analysts · 23 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Prepayments growing✓ Early product, fast growth
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
YES Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q3 2022 earnings call 2022-05-03 move ±13.4%

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand. The delivery was rich in specifics, frequently evasive.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: stableBacklog: growingPricing: raisingHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 9 analysts · 18 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growth
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 6/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
YES Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q2 2022 earnings call 2022-02-02 move ±10.8%

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingBacklog: growingPricing: stableHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 11 analysts · 21 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Early product, fast growth
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 7/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q3 2021 2021-11-02 C+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q4 2021 2021-08-30 B+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q3 2021 2021-05-04 C raisedacceleratingexpanding 5/9 7/9
Q2 2021 2021-02-02 B+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q1 2021 2020-11-03 C+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 6/9
Q4 2020 2020-08-31 C+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 6/9 5/9
Q3 2020 2020-05-09 C loweredmixedstable 7/9 4/9
Q2 2020 2020-02-03 C+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q1 2020 2019-11-06 C+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q4 2019 2019-08-27 B raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q2 2019 2019-02-05 C+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q1 2019 2018-11-06 C+ maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q4 2018 2018-08-28 C+ maintainedmixedexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q3 2018 2018-05-01 B maintainedacceleratingstable 8/9 2/9
Q2 2018 2018-02-05 B+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 8/9 2/9
Q1 2018 2017-11-06 B+ raisedacceleratingstable 8/9 2/9
Q4 2017 2017-08-28 A maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 1/9
Q3 2017 2017-05-04 B+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2017 2017-02-06 B+ maintainedacceleratingstable 7/9 3/9
Q1 2017 2016-11-08 C+ maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 3/9
Q4 2016 2016-08-29 B+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 8/9 3/9
Q3 2016 2016-05-04 D loweredmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q2 2016 2016-02-09 C+ loweredstablecontracting 8/9 3/9

Research question bank — earlier calls

During our 1,600-question research program, batches of experimental hypotheses were tested directly against some of CTLT's earlier calls. The YES answers — the rare hits — are shown; click any question to see every company that matched it. Full list: the question bank.

C+ Q1 2020 earnings call 2019-11-06

1 more research questions answered NO

B Q3 2018 earnings call 2018-05-01

A Q4 2017 earnings call 2017-08-28

1 more research questions answered NO

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.