🔒 Q1 2024 earnings call 2024-05-15 NEWEST
Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.
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Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.
Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management gave no formal guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid.
Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.
Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, frequently evasive, visibly under pressure.
| Call | Date | Grade | Guidance | Demand | Margins | Candor | Evasion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2022 | 2022-05-17 | D | none | mixed | contracting | 6/9 | 2/9 |
| Q4 2021 | 2022-04-01 | D | none | accelerating | contracting | 6/9 | 3/9 |
| Q3 2021 | 2021-11-15 | D | none | accelerating | contracting | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Q2 2021 | 2021-08-16 | D | none | mixed | contracting | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q1 2021 | 2021-05-17 | C+ | none | accelerating | contracting | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q4 2020 | 2021-03-31 | C | none | accelerating | expanding | 7/9 | 1/9 |
| Q3 2020 | 2020-11-16 | C+ | none | slowing | expanding | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q2 2020 | 2020-08-19 | D | none | slowing | contracting | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q1 2020 | 2020-07-22 | D | none | slowing | contracting | 6/9 | 5/9 |
| Q4 2019 | 2020-04-14 | F | none | mixed | contracting | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Q3 2019 | 2019-11-19 | D | none | mixed | contracting | 7/9 | 4/9 |
| Q2 2019 | 2019-08-14 | F | none | mixed | contracting | 6/9 | 3/9 |
| Q1 2019 | 2019-05-15 | D | maintained | mixed | contracting | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q4 2018 | 2019-03-14 | D | maintained | stable | expanding | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Q3 2018 | 2018-11-14 | C+ | none | accelerating | expanding | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q2 2018 | 2018-08-14 | B | none | accelerating | expanding | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q1 2018 | 2018-05-15 | C+ | none | stable | contracting | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q4 2017 | 2018-03-15 | C | maintained | mixed | contracting | 6/9 | 1/9 |
| Q3 2017 | 2017-11-14 | D | maintained | mixed | stable | 6/9 | 3/9 |
| Q2 2017 | 2017-08-14 | B | maintained | accelerating | expanding | 7/9 | 1/9 |
| Q1 2017 | 2017-05-15 | B | maintained | accelerating | contracting | 7/9 | 1/9 |
| Q4 2016 | 2017-03-09 | A | raised | stable | expanding | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q3 2016 | 2016-11-14 | C | maintained | accelerating | expanding | 6/9 | 5/9 |
| Q2 2016 | 2016-08-15 | B | none | mixed | expanding | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q1 2016 | 2016-05-16 | D | maintained | accelerating | expanding | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Q4 2015 | 2016-03-15 | B | maintained | mixed | expanding | 7/9 | 2/9 |
During our 1,600-question research program, batches of experimental hypotheses were tested directly against some of GVP's earlier calls. The YES answers — the rare hits — are shown; click any question to see every company that matched it. Full list: the question bank.
The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.
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