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Smith & Wesson's (SWHC) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 5 of SWHC's earnings calls (2015–2016) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q2 2017 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
C+
Q1 2017
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
5
2015–2016
Avg Candor
6.4/9
evasion 3.4/9
Guidance RaisedSkeptic ReassuredCritic AmmunitionVolume Step-UpEarly Product, Fast GrowthUnderused Fixed CostsRaising PricesMargins Expanding

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q2 2017 earnings call 2016-12-01 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor ■/9
Specificity ■/9
Evasion ■/9
Stress ■/9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q2 2017 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of SWHC's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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C+ Q1 2017 earnings call 2016-09-01

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingPricing: raisingCapex: increasing 5 analysts · 21 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q4 2016 earnings call 2016-06-16

Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins.

Demand: mixedMargins: expandingPricing: stableCapex: increasing 7 analysts · 20 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable
Candor 6/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B+ Q3 2016 earnings call 2016-03-04

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingPricing: stableCapex: flat 6 analysts · 14 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

A Q2 2016 earnings call 2015-12-08

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics, relaxed under questioning.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingPricing: stableCapex: flat 6 analysts · 15 questions
✓ Clean call✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Early product, fast growth
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 1/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
NO Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.