July 31, 2018 - LGRDY

The Hidden Signal in Legrand's Earnings Call: Is This French Giant Pivoting to a New Growth Engine?

Legrand, the French electrical and digital building infrastructure giant, recently held its Q2 2018 earnings conference call (Seeking Alpha Transcript). While the headlines focused on double-digit growth across key indicators and the confirmation of 2018 targets, a deeper dive into the transcript reveals a subtle shift in narrative that might have slipped under the radar of most analysts. Legrand, known for its steady, acquisition-driven growth, seems to be quietly hinting at a pivot towards organic growth, fueled by innovation and strategic product deployments.

The transcript is littered with references to new product launches, encompassing both traditional and connected solutions. While CEO Benoît Coquart diligently listed an array of offerings, from the Niloe Step user interface and dooxie brand to the Keor SP smart UPS, the underlying message was clear: Legrand is aggressively pushing new product development. This isn't merely a routine update on innovation; it signals a conscious effort to capture market share and drive growth from within, a departure from the company's historical reliance on acquisitions.

Further reinforcing this hypothesis is the emphasis on geographical deployment. Legrand is not merely creating new products; it's strategically placing them in key markets. The transcript highlights the success of this strategy, citing sustained sales growth in new economies like Russia, Romania, Hungary, and Turkey, as well as solid performances in India and China. This proactive approach suggests a move beyond opportunistic acquisitions, towards a more calculated and targeted expansion of Legrand's footprint across diverse markets.

The Eliot program, Legrand's ambitious foray into the connected products arena, further underscores this potential shift. While specific details are reserved for the annual report, the CEO confidently stated that Eliot is "on plan, on target, growing," with new product ventures announced and deployments ongoing across various geographies. This signifies Legrand's commitment to Eliot's success, not just as a standalone initiative, but potentially as a core driver of future growth.

The question then arises: why this apparent shift in strategy? The answer might lie in the transcript's subtle hints at emerging challenges. Coquart acknowledges an "uncertain environment," citing U.S. tariffs, Brexit uncertainty, political instability in certain countries, and pressure on electronic components. These factors likely necessitate a recalibration of Legrand's growth strategy, relying less on external acquisitions that could be hampered by global headwinds, and more on internal innovation and strategic product deployments that are more readily controllable.

Organic vs. Acquisition-Driven Growth

To quantify this potential shift, we can look at the historical contribution of organic and acquisition-driven growth to Legrand's sales. In the first half of 2018, organic growth reached a solid 5.2%, while acquisitions contributed 13.6%. For the full year, however, acquisition-driven growth is expected to contribute around 7.5%, suggesting a potential narrowing of the gap between the two growth drivers.

While this analysis is based on a single earnings call transcript, it raises intriguing questions about Legrand's future direction. Is this a temporary response to a challenging environment, or a long-term strategic pivot towards a new growth engine? Only time will tell.

"Fun Fact: Legrand's headquarters is in Limoges, France, a city renowned for its porcelain industry. Just as Limoges porcelain is known for its elegance and durability, Legrand aims to build its reputation for providing long-lasting, high-quality electrical solutions."