Fixed price, unfixed volume: the company is locked into a rate while the amount it can sell against it is climbing
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes a situation where the price/rate/fee is already fixed or contractually set, and the volume is currently rising or about to rise, so that results scale with volume. The key is that the rate is settled, and volume is increasing from things already in motion, and reported results reflect lower volume. Looking at the transcript, there is discussion about reimbursement for EXPAREL. Dave Stack talks about CMS reimbursement: "We are currently working with CMS policymakers to achieve an off-cycle change around reimbursement practices that bundle EXPAREL within their fixed payment to outpatient and ambulatory surgical centers." Also, "we are seeking a unique reimbursement code through the standard process with CMS. We applied in December and if we are granted a code it would take effect January 1, 2019." That is about getting a code, not yet settled. But there is also mention of commercial payers already recognizing economic advantage and reimbursing EXPAREL separately under C9290. That is a code that exists. However, is that a fixed rate? The transcript says: "Commercial payers already recognize the economic advantage of reimbursing EXPAREL separately under C9290. They are supporting enhanced recovery after surgery protocols with EXPAREL and shifting many inpatient procedures to the outpatient setting, which is yielding a savings of roughly 40% per case." That suggests that for some commercial payers, there is a reimbursement code (C9290) that is already in place. But is that a fixed rate? It's a code that presumably has a payment amount. However, the context is that they are working to get CMS to adopt similar unbundling. The question is whether management describes a situation where the rate is already settled and volume is rising. Another angle: The J&J partnership. That is a co-promotion agreement. The commission is based on incremental growth. That is not a fixed rate per unit of product sold; it's a commission on sales. Not exactly.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOAH | Noah Holdings Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-30 | D |
| AES | The AES Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | C+ |
| KOPN | Kopin Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-14 | C+ |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| PUMP | ProPetro Holding Corp. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-21 | C+ |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | F |
| GVP | GSE Systems, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-15 | D |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-12 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| ESEA | Euroseas Ltd. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-15 | C+ |
| CEIX | CONSOL Energy Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-07 | B |
| CHE | Chemed Corporation | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-01 | B+ |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | Q4 2022 | 2022-06-22 | B |
| VNRX | VolitionRx Limited | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | F |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| FAT | FAT Brands Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-21 | F |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| RNW | ReNew Energy Global Plc | Q2 2022 | 2021-11-18 | C |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
| ALB | Albemarle Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-11-08 | B |
| KIM | Kimco Realty Corporation | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | B+ |
| HLX | Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-24 | B+ |
| ATI | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-24 | B |
| FI | Fiserv, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2018-02-27 | C |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities Corporation | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-10 | A |
| LIND | Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-06 | C |
| IONS | Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-09 | C |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-30 | A |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-03-03 | B+ |
| GPOR | Gulfport Energy Corporation | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-14 | A |
ABR · Q4 2016 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a situation where the price/rate/fee is already fixed, but the quantity/volume is rising, so results scale with volume. YES The transcript shows management describing the Agency Business servicing portfolio at $13.6 billion with a fixed 48 basis point weighted average servicing fee that is already contracted and recurring. They explicitly note the portfolio is growing through recent originations, including $700 million closed in December, which will drive higher servicing income in Q 1. Management states they expect the portfolio to generate over $65 million annually and references growth from 2015 levels, indicating the reported Q4 results reflect a lower average volume during the quarter while the settled economics now scale with the increasing volume arriving in Q1.
FIX · Q1 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a situation where the price/rate/fee is already fixed, but the quantity/volume is rising, so results scale with volume. YES The transcript shows management describing a situation where pricing is stable and contracts (backlog) lock in rates, while volume is rising through backlog growth and upcoming organic work. The Q1 results reflect lower seasonal volume, with the backlog supporting higher throughput ahead. This fits the criteria of settled rates on meaningful contracted business with 13% backlog increase driving volume step-up.
CHE · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a situation where the price/rate/fee is already fixed, but the quantity/volume is rising, so results scale with volume. YES Management describes Medicare reimbursement rates as already fixed by regulation (CMS), with the volume side now rising through a first significant expansion of clinical staff and patient capacity since the pandemic, plus strengthening admissions and weekly ADC growth in the second half. The reported quarter reflects lower volume (ADC down 4.