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ADTRAN's (ADTN) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 38 of ADTN's earnings calls (2016–2025) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q1 2025 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
C+
Q4 2024
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
38
2016–2025
Avg Candor
6.9/9
evasion 3.1/9
High CandorSkeptic ReassuredCritic AmmunitionFounder-LedUnderused Fixed CostsMargins ExpandingDemand AcceleratingBacklog Growing

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q1 2025 earnings call 2025-05-11 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q1 2025 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of ADTN's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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C+ Q4 2024 earnings call 2025-02-28 move ±10%

Management held guidance steady against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingBacklog: growingPricing: stable 5 analysts · 17 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Resolves doubtsFounder-led
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

A Q3 2024 earnings call 2024-11-08 move ±12.6%

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingBacklog: growingPricing: stable 5 analysts · 16 questions
✓ Clean call✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growth
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
NO Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q2 2024 earnings call 2024-08-06 move ±13.2%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: expandingPricing: stableHeadcount: cuttingCapex: decreasing 4 analysts · 10 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-led
Candor 7/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q1 2024 earnings call 2024-05-07 move ±11.9%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: stableHeadcount: cuttingCapex: decreasing 4 analysts · 11 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Early product, fast growthHidden segmentDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q4 2023 earnings call 2024-02-27 move ±15.7%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: expandingPricing: stable 4 analysts · 12 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Resolves doubtsFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-11-07 move ±16.4%

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingMargins: contractingBacklog: shrinkingPricing: stableHeadcount: cuttingCapex: decreasing 4 analysts · 10 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hangingFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 4/9
Uncertainty 7/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q2 2023 earnings call 2023-08-08 move ±12%

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingMargins: contractingBacklog: shrinkingPricing: stableHeadcount: cutting 5 analysts · 14 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledHidden segment
Candor 8/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 1/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q1 2023 2023-05-09 D loweredmixedcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q4 2022 2023-02-21 C+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 2/9
Q3 2022 2022-11-08 B maintainedstableexpanding 8/9 3/9
Q2 2022 2022-08-07 C noneacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q1 2022 2022-05-08 C+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q4 2021 2022-02-03 C maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2021 2021-11-02 C maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q2 2021 2021-08-08 B maintainedacceleratingexpanding 8/9 2/9
Q1 2021 2021-05-08 C+ raisedacceleratingstable 7/9 3/9
Q4 2020 2021-02-04 C+ maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2020 2020-11-04 C+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2020 2020-08-09 C+ maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q1 2020 2020-05-09 C maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q4 2019 2020-02-06 D nonemixedstable 6/9 4/9
Q3 2019 2019-11-03 F nonemixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q2 2019 2019-07-18 F loweredmixedstable 7/9 4/9
Q1 2019 2019-04-18 C noneacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q4 2018 2019-01-24 C nonemixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2018 2018-10-17 D maintainedmixedcontracting 6/9 4/9
Q2 2018 2018-07-18 C nonemixedexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q1 2018 2018-04-18 F nonemixedcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q4 2017 2018-01-17 F loweredslowingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2017 2017-10-18 D loweredmixedexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q2 2017 2017-07-19 C+ maintainedacceleratingstable 7/9 4/9
Q1 2017 2017-04-19 B+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q4 2016 2017-01-18 B raisedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2016 2016-10-19 D maintainedmixedcontracting 6/9 5/9
Q2 2016 2016-07-13 C+ maintainedmixedexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q1 2016 2016-04-13 C maintainedstablestable 6/9 4/9
Q4 2015 2016-01-20 C maintainedmixedstable 7/9 4/9

Research question bank — earlier calls

During our 1,600-question research program, batches of experimental hypotheses were tested directly against some of ADTN's earlier calls. The YES answers — the rare hits — are shown; click any question to see every company that matched it. Full list: the question bank.

C+ Q3 2020 earnings call 2020-11-04

1 more research questions answered NO

C+ Q2 2017 earnings call 2017-07-19

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.